Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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901
FXUS64 KOHX 061201
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
601 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Vigorous short wave and associated surface cyclone will lift
northeast from Lower Mississippi River Valley in the overnight
hours and up through Middle Tennessee and spread rain over a good
part of the region which will taper off from the west beginning
around noon today. A cold front currently back in western Missouridown
into Oklahoma will move this way on the heals of the surface
cyclone and pass through the Mid State this evening and this will
drop temps below freezing tonight in many areas but no precip.
Surface high will build into the region on Wednesday with highs in
the 40`s. Wednesday night a surface wave develops along frontal
boundary down along Gulf Coast in response to deepening upper
trough over lower Mississippi River Valley. At the same time a
strong Vorticity Maxima swings across southern Missouri in the
overnight so with this combination think we could see a chance for
light rain here in Middle Tennessee after midnight possibly mixing
with a flake or two of snow over northern areas of the Mid State
along the higher elevations and in the Upper Cumberland. Precip
pulls off plateau Thursday morning. Another chance for rain
Saturday night into Monday as short wave approaches the area.

Friday and Saturday morning`s we are looking at the coldest
temperatures thus far this meteorological winter.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Rain continues to move across area airports this morning with
some thunderstorms approaching CSV. Expect -SHRA through 17Z per
HRRR but dry afterwards. Cigs/visibility will range from IFR to
VFR this morning but MVFR/IFR cigs anticipated this afternoon.
Northwest to north winds anticipated at CKV through the TAF
period, with southeast winds at BNA/CSV switching to west and
northwest this afternoon.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......01/Boyd
AVIATION........Shamburger



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