Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000
FXUS61 KCAR 282259
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
659 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN
ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL
CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
630 PM UPDATE. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE HRLY TEMPS...OTHERWISE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.

NOT MUCH INDICATION OF ANY SNFL ATTM REACHING THE GROUND OVR
DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MID AFTN. CANNOT RULE A BRIEF PD OF A LITTLE
LGT SNFL RIGHT ALG THE DOWNEAST COAST WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
ACCUM UP TO ERLY EVE...THEN LLVL COLD AND DRY ADVCN WILL CHASE
WHATS LEFT OF ANY SNFL SE OF THE FA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVRNGT...WITH CLRG WORKING N TO S OVR THE FA.

THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS
BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND
LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE
FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A
LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD
OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT
LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING
CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP
OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON
MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY
AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID
40S DOWN EAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM...
WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS
EVE.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN
UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM
LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE
FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD
LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052.

SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORTON
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA
MARINE...NORTON/DUDA



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