Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 020602
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
202 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTHWEST OF MAINE WILL BEGIN TO DRAW A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. COULD HAVE LINGERING
SHOWERS ACROSS MOSTLY NORTHERN AREAS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. MOISTURE MOVING INLAND FROM THE GULF OF MAINE IS SUPPORTING
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS WHERE A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH 4 AM WITH THIS UPDATE.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE ALSO UPDATED TO ADJUST
FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES...CLOUD COVER AND SHOWER CHANCES.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY MORNING WHILE THE FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA WITH DRIER AIR AND PARTIAL CLEARING TOWARD
MORNING. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AS
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY AND WARM HEADING INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.  HIGH PRES SLIDES
SOUTH OF THE REGION FRI MAKING FOR A NICE DAY. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH
WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER IN THE NORTH...BUT EVEN
ACROSS THE CROWN OF MAINE IT SHOULD BE A P/SUNNY DAY.  MOSTLY SUNNY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED DOWN EAST.  HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE M/U 70S
INLAND...BUT A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW/SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
ALONG THE COAST KEEPING TEMPS COOLER AT THE SHORELINE. HIGH PRES
MOVES EAST ON THE 4TH AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH FROM THE
NW LATE IN THE DAY. A LATE DAY OR EVENING SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
ACROSS NW AREAS...BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL BE DRY WITH CONTINUED WARM
TEMPS THAT MAY TOP 80 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF INTERIOR DOWN EAST
MAINE.
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT AND MAY
STALL OUT ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE SUN. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE DURING THE DAY SUN ACROSS DOWN EAST AREAS. THE
FRONT DOES NOT HAVE MUCH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND THE SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUN AFTERNOON DOWN EAST. HIGH PRES BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION
MON AND TUE WITH DRY AND WARM WEATHER. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE REGION WED WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM MVFR TO
VLIFR...WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: VFR EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT EVE. CONDITIONS
MAY LOWER TO MVFR AT TIMES LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN IN SHOWERS.
VFR MON.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN
FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR ENDED AS THE COLDEST ON
RECORD AT BANGOR AND TIED FOR THE 7TH COLDEST AT CARIBOU. JUNE
WAS A COOL MONTH AND RANKED AS THE 5TH COOLEST ON RECORD AT BANGOR
AND 12TH COOLEST AT CARIBOU.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ015>017-029-030.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA
SHORT TERM...CB
LONG TERM...CB
AVIATION...NORCROSS/CB
MARINE...NORCROSS/CB
CLIMATE...CB


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