Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
FXUS61 KCAR 272039
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
439 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016
Low pressure will move out of southern New England toward the Gulf
of Maine overnight with precipitation developing from southwest to
northeast. Significant snowfall is expected over especially
higher elevations of northwest and central Maine mountain peaks.
Precipitation moves out briefly Friday night before mostly rain
showers return later Saturday into Sunday with another...weaker
low crossing the region. High pressure with drier conditions
then builds over the region for Monday and into Tuesday.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Big concern tonight into Friday is high trrn snfl msly ovr the
mtns of NW and Cntrl ME but also including into E Cntrl ptns of
the region where sfc and temps alf will be cold just cold enough
for wet snfl thru Fri morn, spcly where heavier banding of precip
sets up. The potential of accumulating snfl decreases Fri aftn
with decreasing precip rates and warming sfc-blyr temps which
should allow for a transition to msly rn ovr trrn less than 2000
ft abv msl.
Far Nrn areas will experience less snfl due to less fcst liquid
equivalent with a the sfc ow tracking toward srn Nova Scotia,
while Downeast areas experience mainly rain. Precip should then
wind down to sct shwrs Fri eve and then briefly end late Fri ngt.
With the sfc low intensifying ovr the Srn Gulf of Maine, ENE to NE
winds will be an issue Fri ovr Downeast areas, epecially alog the
coast where we have issued a wind adv.
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Two weak s/wvs will bring msly sct rn shwrs to the region Sat aftn
and Sat eve, and to msly Downeast ptns of the FA Sun and Sun eve.
Temps will be milder this pd.
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mon and Tue look to be drier, and potentially more sunny barring
any left ovr SC cld cvr across the N. The next chc of showers will
be with a weak cold front slated to arrive Tuesday night...crossing
the region by Wed morn. Temps look to be mild behind this front
for Wed aftn into Thu, followed by another...stronger cold front
.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR this eve will transition to MVFR in sn N and rn
Downeast. Conditions lower to IFR all sites Fri morn and cont thru
Fri aftn, with sn chgng to rn ovr Nrn TAF sites. MVFR conditions
are then xpctd Sat and Sun, followed by VFR Mon and Tue.
SHORT TERM: IFR/LIFR conditions improve late Friday night and into
Saturday but will likely return as another system approaches
Saturday night and into Sunday.
NEAR TERM: Will cont with strong GLW late tngt into Fri eve, with
a few storm force wind gusts possible Fri morn thru midday. Winds
then subside to SCA late Fri ngt.
SHORT TERM: Winds and seas aob marginal SCA thresholds.
ME...Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 4 PM EDT Friday for
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 2 PM EDT Friday for
Wind Advisory from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday for MEZ029-030.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday for ANZ050>052.