Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KPAH 230704
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
204 AM CDT Tue Sep 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 144 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

High pressure at the surface remains strong across the Upper Ohio
valley and into the Northeast states by the end of the short term
period, while High pressure ridging aloft builds across the
remainder of both the Ohio and Mississippi river valleys through
the entire period. This means continued pleasantly dry and
gradually warmer weather each day through the course of the week.
Lows in the 40s will climb thru the 50s, and Highs in the lower to
middle 70s will nudge up into the lower 80s by the end of the
short term forecast period.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 144 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

The extended period will start off with continued dry conditions as
the region remains under the influence of high pressure centered
over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. A weak pattern in the upper
levels will feature a broad ridge across the central part of the
nation with weak troughiness just south of the upper level ridge.

Through the course of the weekend, the upper level trough will
strengthen and pivot east into the Middle and Lower Mississippi
Valley. Increasing moisture and lift associated with the approaching
trough will result in the potential for showers and thunderstorms
Sunday into Monday. The GFS and ECMWF are not quite on the same page
with respect to timing, so a model consensus blend is preferred.

Temperatures will be near seasonable through the period. Highs will
start off in the upper 70s to lower 80s Friday and Saturday, then
drop back into the 70s Sunday and Monday with the increase in clouds
and chance for precipitation. Lows will range from the upper 50s to
lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 144 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

Patchy pre dawn fog could offer significant vsby reductions,
particularly at fog prone KCGI. It will burn off quickly after
sunrise, and otherwise, VFR conditions will rule with High
pressure dominating the forecast.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.