Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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797
FXUS62 KTBW 231308
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
908 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today)...
A weakening front in north-central FL will push across the
area with modest amounts of moisture and cooler temperatures
aloft. The 12Z TBW RAOB came in with a PWAT of 1.2 inches
and -16C at 500MB. Increasing clouds and slight chance to
chance showers...along with an isolated thunderstorm
possible...will spread in later this morning and through out
the afternoon. The front will exit into south FL this
evening...taking the clouds and showers with it. The
forecasts are on track with no updates planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
23/13Z-24/12Z. Limited BR will linger TIL 14-15Z with some
MVFR. A weak front pushes through today...bringing
increasing clouds through the morning into the afternoon
along with low odds of TSRA/SHRA...ending around sunset when
the front exits south FL. Prevailing NE to E
winds...becoming gusty this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.MARINE...
A front slides across the waters today with thunderstorms
producing locally higher winds and seas. Winds begin to
increase in the wake of the front and reach exercise caution
to advisory speeds tonight as high pressure builds in.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  78  61  79  62 /  30  10   0   0
FMY  81  62  80  61 /  40  10  10   0
GIF  76  59  78  59 /  40  10   0   0
SRQ  77  61  77  61 /  30  10   0   0
BKV  76  58  78  56 /  30   0   0   0
SPG  77  62  78  64 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT
     Friday for Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon
     Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs
     to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...09/Rude
UPPER AIR...03/Paxton
DECISION SUPPORT...63/Jillson



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