Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KTBW 020117
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
917 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

.UPDATE...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A COUPLE EMBEDDED THUDNERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SPREAD WEST THIS EVENING. SEVERAL WESTWARD
PROPAGATING BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY ALLOW CONVECTION TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING AND PUSH INTO THE NEAR SHORE WATERS.
INSTABILITY FROM THIS AFTERNOON HAS MODERATED SO EXPECTING
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE. FORECAST IS ON
TRACK FOR TONIGHT SHOWING HIGHER POPS SHIFTING OFF SHORE. LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE SETTLINGOVER
THE AREA BEGINNING TOMORROW SO HAVE MAINTAINED HIGH POPS ACROSS
THE AREA.


&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR OR IFR EXPECTED THROUGH AROUND
3Z BEFORE SHOWERS AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISH. WINDS
BECOMING LIGHTER AND VARIABLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WILL
GIVE WAY TO A MORE WESTERLY PUSH AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS AROUND
15Z. DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL INITIATE SOME THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND 15Z.


&&

.MARINE...GENERALLY ON SHORE WINDS ARE OBSERVED AT NEAR SHORE AND
OFF SHORE BUOYS THIS EVENING WITH SEAS IN THE 1 FT RANGE. A FEW
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THUDNERSTORMS INLAND THIS EVENING WILL
MAKE THEIR WAY INTO THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AND HELP INCREASE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
WITH LINGERING ACTIVITY INTO THE EARLY MORNING.

&&

FIRE WEATHER... NO UPDATES FROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  86  73  88 /  40  70  60  50
FMY  72  86  71  90 /  60  70  50  50
GIF  71  87  71  89 /  50  70  50  50
SRQ  74  85  72  87 /  40  70  60  50
BKV  70  86  68  88 /  50  70  60  50
SPG  76  85  74  87 /  40  70  70  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...20/BARRON
DECISION SUPPORT...24/HUBBARD



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.