798
FXUS62 KTBW 160556
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
156 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 140 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Held VCTS mention for TPA/PIE to open period as overnight
lingering convection slides north along the coast, with TEMPO
restrictions before VFR expected to return. Otherwise, S/SE flow
regime over the area today will favor VFR through the morning,
however, a few showers possible prior to main afternoon convection
as moisture surges northward across the area, but excluding
mention for now due to lower confidence. VC mention beginning
early afternoon with highest MVFR/LCL IFR potential mid afternoon
through early evening with showers/storms directly affecting
terminals before diminishing later in evening. Winds S/SE 5-10
knots overnight into morning before increasing to 10-15 knots with
higher gusts mainly in afternoon, diminishing in the evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  79  92  79 /  80  30  80  30
FMY  91  76  93  76 /  70  30  80  20
GIF  92  76  93  76 /  70  20  80  10
SRQ  91  76  92  76 /  70  30  80  30
BKV  91  72  93  73 /  80  30  80  20
SPG  88  78  90  79 /  80  30  80  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 7
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 7

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Hurt