Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 252337 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
637 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.AVIATION...
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS OVERNIGHT...BEFORE WINDS INCREASE LATE SATURDAY
MORNING AS PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AS FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTH. SCATTERED CU WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY...BUT WILL
REMAIN VFR.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER TO BE CENTERED OVER NORTH TEXAS
WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST SATURDAY NIGHT THEN THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY. THIS
WILL PUSH THE RIDGE TO THE WEST AND DEEPEN THE TROUGH OVER THE EAST
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

A WARM FRONT IS LIFTING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY...AND
SHOULD MOVE OUT OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS BY SATURDAY MORNING. A WARMER
AND DRY FORECAST IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
INCLUDED SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT.
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE AGAIN EXPECTED BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT. NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY WITH MORE CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE
PERIOD. BY MID-WEEK...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM TO
THE WEST OF THE REGION...AND WHILE IT WILL STAY TO THE WEST AND
SOUTH...IT WILL BE ENOUGH TO BRING MOISTURE BACK INTO ARKANSAS.
AT THE SAME TIME...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH IN DEEP
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...AND THE COMBINATION OF THESE WILL ALLOW FOR A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS AT LEAST ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
AND MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE BIG STORY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES
LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKELY. NO...YOUR EYES ARE NOT DECEIVING
YOU...YOU READ THAT CORRECTLY. THIS IS LOOKING LIKE NEAR-RECORD
DAILY LOWS...AND POSSIBLY RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURES AS WELL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     66  92  71  93 /   0   0  10  20
CAMDEN AR         69  94  72  95 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       66  92  70  92 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  94  72  95 /   0   0   0  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  67  92  72  95 /   0   0  10  20
MONTICELLO AR     68  93  72  95 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      69  94  72  95 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  66  92  70  91 /   0   0  10  20
NEWPORT AR        66  92  71  93 /   0   0  10  20
PINE BLUFF AR     67  93  72  95 /   0   0   0  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   67  92  71  94 /   0   0  10  20
SEARCY AR         67  92  71  94 /   0   0  10  20
STUTTGART AR      67  92  71  94 /   0   0  10  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...58




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