Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 031100
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
600 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Stratus will result in MVFR ceilings at KSOA, KBBD, KJCT, and
possibly as far north as KSJT this morning. Expect VFR conditions
to return to all sites by late morning, with southeast winds of 10
to 15 knots. Winds will decrease shortly after 00z, with more
stratus possible by early Thursday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Quiet weather will continue across West Central Texas through the
next 24 hours. An upper level ridge will continue to build into
the area, with rain chances across the region near zero and
temperatures near normal. Patchy stratus across mainly the
Interstate 10 corridor early this morning, will give way to mostly
sunny skies by late morning. Highs today will be slightly warmer
than what we saw yesterday, in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Overnight lows will be in the 60s.

Daniels

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)

Expect quiet weather through early next week as the subtropical
ridge sets up shop over central TX. Large scale subsidence and a
good deal of insolation will support above normal temperatures and
dry weather. A few storms will be possible over the higher terrain
of west TX, but the unfavorable steering flow will keep this
activity well west of the CWA. Expect maximum temperatures in the
lower 90s with overnight lows in the mid/upper 60s.

The only real change in the synoptic pattern is forecast to occur
early next week. A strong shortwave trough is progged to move
southeast across the central Plains as the mid-level anticyclone
migrates slowly to the west over northern Mexico. This would
result in northwest flow aloft and could open the door for rain
chances as shortwave troughs move across the southern Plains.
There is some indication that a weak cold front could approach the
area by midweek, but we`ll have to let the finer details (e.g. how
far south the front moves) fall out over the next several days.

Johnson

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  90  68  90  68  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  91  68  92  67  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Junction  89  67  92  66  91 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Daniels





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