Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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029
FXUS64 KCRP 271746
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1246 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...Nudged max temperatures down a little more for this
afternoon except for the Victoria Crossroads where breaks in the
clouds were showing up on satellite imagery. See Aviation section
for 18Z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...Frontal inversion holding ceilings in the MVFR range
from 1000-1500 feet this afternoon. The ceilings will gradually
lift to around 2500 feet by late afternoon. Isolated showers could
affect the CRP/ALI site late afternoon. Expect the lower cloud
ceilings to scatter out at VCT by this evening and the southern
TAF sites overnight. VFR conditions are expected from overnight
period through Wednesday morning.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 1021 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...Convection remains limited to the offshore waters
this morning in closer proximity to the frontal boundary just east
of the area. Air mass remains moist behind the front with 12Z CRP
showing precipitable water value near 2.2 inches. Latest mesoscale
models show isolated showers will be possible this afternoon over
the coastal plains to the southern Brush Country with better
chances for convection remaining over the coastal waters. Clouds
will linger behind the front today. Temperatures will struggle to
reach 80 degrees over the western Brush Country. Lowered high
temperatures for today a few degrees especially west.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    81  72  90  74  91  /  30  20  20  10  10
Victoria          84  67  88  66  90  /  20  10  10  10  10
Laredo            76  69  89  71  91  /  20  10  10  10  10
Alice             81  69  90  70  92  /  20  10  10  10  10
Rockport          83  73  87  76  91  /  20  20  10  10  10
Cotulla           79  67  88  68  91  /  10  10  10  10  10
Kingsville        82  71  90  71  92  /  30  20  20  10  10
Navy Corpus       82  74  87  77  89  /  30  20  20  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

TMT/89...AVIATION



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