Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 211033
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY.
EXPECT CLOUDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH ONLY
LIGHT ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS. ON SATURDAY NIGHT ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO ARIZONA FROM THE NORTH BRINGING BREEZY NORTHERLY
WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WEST COAST WITH A WARMING
TREND IN OUR TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS LASTING THROUGH
FRIDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA
TODAY. EXPECT CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA...FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS...
WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. SNOW LEVELS
WILL FALL TO THE 6500 TO 7000 FEET ELEVATION RANGE BY AFTERNOON.
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY AROUND SUNSET AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...EXPECT MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY NIGHT EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THIS FRONTAL ZONE
ALONG WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY ARE FORECAST TO RUN 4-8 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE
WEST COAST AND INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL KEEP ARIZONA IN
A DRY WEATHER PATTERN WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING
WDSPRD MID-LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE AREA TODAY...WITH BASES FROM 8-10KFT
AGL. ISOLD TO SCT --SHSN WILL DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM KPAN TO KFLG TO KGCN BY 16Z-18Z...LASTING
THROUGH 00Z-02Z. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NW TO SE THIS EVENING.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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