Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 272225
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
325 PM MST WED AUG 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING WITH
OTHERWISE FAIR WEATHER. A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMER HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE WAKE OF YESTERDAY`S LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. ACTIVITY HAS BEEN
MOSTLY ISOLATED AND WEAK. HOWEVER...VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PROFILES
STILL INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORM. THIS WAS OBSERVED THIS AFTERNOON BY A PERSISTENT STRONG STORM
CELL OVER THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. BELIEVE THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR ANYTHING STRONG TO DEVELOP THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE IN EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
ARIZONA WHERE SHEAR IS GREATEST. AFTER SUNSET...INSTABILITY
SHOWERS SHOULD QUICKLY COME TO AN END.

A MUCH DRIER WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS THURSDAY THROUGH THE COMING
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE CALIFORNIA COASTLINE
RESULTS IN A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THAT KEEPS ANY
MOISTURE WELL SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONALLY...DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE. BY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY A BROAD
TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKY
MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM RISING ABOVE
NORMAL. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH BREEZY
AFTERNOON WINDS DEVELOPING. DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 02Z. AFTER 02Z...CLEARING SKIES. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS
AVIATION.......DM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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