Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS65 KFGZ 282247
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
347 PM MST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...EXPECT DECREASING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS A DRY WESTERLY FLOW SETS UP
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. ON SATURDAY...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY
DEVELOP LEADING TO BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
GOOD HEATING AND A PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE RESULTED IN THE
MOST SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF YAVAPAI
AND WESTERN COCONINO COUNTIES TODAY. EXPECT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES COOL.

TUESDAY TO FRIDAY...WESTERLY FLOW WILL REDUCE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LEADING TO DECREASING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...WITH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LIKELY THE LEAST ACTIVE DAYS. IN
ADDITION...TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE...WITH
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.

SATURDAY ONWARD...LONG TERM MODELS INDICATE A MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW MAY SET UP LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA WITH ISOLD
+TSRA WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. MVFR VSBY AND WIND GUSTS UP TO
35KTS PSBL IN THE STRONGER STORMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR AZZ004>008-
015-038.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........RR
AVIATION.......DB

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.