Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 062353
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
653 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN NORTH ARKANSAS. SOUTH HALF OF
THE STATE IS DRY. EXPECT SHOWERS TO CONTINUE IN THE NORTH THROUGH
SUNSET. HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE STATE FROM A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER KANSAS AND MISSOURI ALONG A COLD FRONT. LOW
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN IN THE MORNING...DISSIPATING BY LATE
MORNING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED
TUESDAY. VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH SOME IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHWEST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE NOTED IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL MAINLY
DEVELOP IN THE COMING DAYS AS A COLD FRONT DRIFTS TOWARD THE AREA
FROM THE NORTHWEST AND STOPS.

THE FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE STATE
TONIGHT...AND MAY VERY WELL MAKE IT INTO THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES
ON TUESDAY. FROM THERE...THE FRONT WILL WOBBLE THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE
FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO THE OHIO VALLEY.

AROUND HERE...AREAS ALONG THE MISSOURI BORDER COULD GET
SIGNIFICANT RAIN. FARTHER SOUTH...PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE HIT
AND MISS...AND ALMOST NON-EXISTENT TOWARD THE LOUISIANA BORDER.

AS THE PERIOD ENDS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN OVER
THE SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES...AND THE FRONT WILL
BE FORCED TO THE NORTH. AS THE RIDGE TAKES OVER...IT WILL FEEL A
WHOLE LOT MORE LIKE SUMMER...WITH RAIN TAKING A BREAK.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF BELOW NORMAL...BUT WILL BE CLOSER TO
NORMAL AS THE PERIOD PROGRESSES.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
END OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE HOT AND DRY AS THE UPPER
RIDGE HOLDS HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE OVER THE MIDSOUTH. HIGH TEMPS
WILL BE MUCH MORE SUMMERLIKE...WELL INTO THE 90S WITH NO POPS
FORECASTED. BEYOND THE LONG TERM AS WE GET INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
WORK WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT WEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     74  90  73  89 /  20  40  40  30
CAMDEN AR         74  92  75  93 /  10  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       71  84  70  81 /  30  60  50  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    74  90  74  90 /  10  20  30  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  74  91  75  92 /  10  20  30  20
MONTICELLO AR     74  92  75  92 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      73  88  74  88 /  20  30  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  73  87  72  85 /  30  60  50  60
NEWPORT AR        73  90  73  90 /  20  30  40  30
PINE BLUFF AR     73  91  74  92 /  10  10  20  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   73  89  73  89 /  20  30  40  30
SEARCY AR         73  90  73  91 /  10  30  30  20
STUTTGART AR      72  91  73  91 /  10  20  30  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51





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