Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 030544 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1244 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

STILL HAVE A FAIRLY EXPANSIVE AREA OF BKN-OVC050 CIGS ACROSS THE
STATE AS OF 0530Z. EXPECT AT LEAST SCT-BKN CIGS TO CONTINUE AT
MOST SITES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE
EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE IN THE NORTH WHERE THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
AN OVERALL SOUTHWARD PROGRESSING CLOUD DECK IS APPROACHING KHRO
AND KBPK. AS SUCH...EXPECT THEY WILL CLEAR OUT BETWEEN 07-09Z AND
THAT VSBY RESTRICTIONS WILL ENSUE. THERE IS A GOOD DEAL OF
UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST GUIDANCE ABOUT THIS...SO DECIDED TO STICK
WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF PREVAILING 4SM. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE VSBY FALL INTO THE IFR RANGE AND FOR IFR CIGS TO FORM...BUT
WITH CONFIDENCE AS LOW AS IT IS...WILL FOR NOW JUST MONITOR AND
AMEND IF NECESSARY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1005 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

UPDATE...

NOT TOO MANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TONIGHT. CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY
ERODING AWAY ACROSS THE STATE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NORTHERN
ARKANSAS. UNSEASONABLE COOL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH
LOWS A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...RANGING IN THE MID 40S TO MID
50S.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...64



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