Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41
FXUS63 KSGF 281715

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1215 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016

...18z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016

High pressure east of the Ozarks will continue its eastward
progression through tonight as a flat upper ridge moves over the
center of the country. Developing low pressure over eastern
Colorado will begin to shift east as well with a tightening
surface gradient allowing for breezy conditions today. Winds
mainly north of I-44 will gust at times over 20 mph.

With the breezy southerly winds temperatures will climb into the
middle 70s to lower 80s today with overnight lows tonight in the
upper 50s to middle 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016

Breezy winds will continue into this weekend as a dry cold front
approaches the region. Models are in good agreement with moving a
dry cold front slowly through the region Saturday night and
through the day Sunday. THe frontal passage will do little other
than shifting wind direction as plenty of sunshine will allow
temperatures to climb into the upper 70s to around 80 degrees this
weekend and early next week.

A warm front will lift north through the Ozarks on Tuesday as
another surface low develops across the plains. Models then move a
cold front towards the region Wednesday and bring the next chance
for precipitation as the front moves through the region Wednesday
into Thursday.

Upper level ridging will then move back over the center of the
country for the end of next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016

VFR conditions are expected through this forecast cycle. The only
issues this period looks to be wind related. Southwesterly winds
will gust up into the 20-25kt range, especially over JLN through
the afternoon. Winds should subside around sunset this evening
with surface winds of around 10kts or less expected overnight.

LLWS will increase, especially over JLN and SGF
tonight and should subside Saturday morning. Once again, surface
winds will begin increasing by the end of this forecast cycle.




AVIATION...Frye is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.