Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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519
ACUS02 KWNS 071731
SWODY2
SPC AC 071730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST SUN FEB 07 2016

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

...SRN APPALACHIANS...

EXIT REGION OF PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL JET WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIANS DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD.  STRONG HEIGHT FALLS AND
DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT WILL ENCOURAGE CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AS COLD FRONT MIGRATES ACROSS SERN KY/ERN TN.  STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD ENCOURAGE ROBUST THERMALS DESPITE COLD
PROFILES AND SCT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.  FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS COULD PENETRATE LEVELS
NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE DESPITE MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY
BEING MOSTLY A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.

..DARROW.. 02/07/2016

$$



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