Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
ACUS11 KWNS 312139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312139
TXZ000-312345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0800
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0439 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP S TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 312139Z - 312345Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE HAIL OR WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
FAR SRN TX THROUGH EARLY EVENING...BUT COVERAGE OF SEVERE MAY BE TOO
LIMITED FOR A WATCH.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM JUST E OF THE
AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO AREA SWWD INTO LA SALLE COUNTY ALONG AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. S OF THIS AREA...ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STRONGER CELLS WAS
FORMING SEWD TOWARD CRP WHERE A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND
HEATING IS SUPPORTING GROWTH ALONG A CONFLUENCE LINE.

GIVEN PEAK HEATING...AND ABSENCE OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...STORMS
MAY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SRN AREAS.
FORECAST WIND PROFILES SUGGEST A SEWD MEAN MOTION TO THESE
CELLS...BUT SLOW STORM MOTIONS MAY KEEP THE THREAT RELATIVELY
CONTAINED ACROSS THE CRP CWA.

..JEWELL/GUYER.. 05/31/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...

LAT...LON   28699975 28709902 29019836 29389801 29719770 29599698
            29199667 28729674 27859696 27109719 26899728 26849772
            27119881 27269944 27519961 27899996 28370011 28579998
            28699975



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.