Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 261632
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

..COHEN.. 07/26/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0351 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY AS A
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WEST AND A TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE ERN CONUS.
THE SURFACE PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN BETWEEN BUILDING SWD
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

...NRN CA...SWRN/CNTRL ORE...
WITH WARMING/DRYING TAKING PLACE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THE
POTENTIAL FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A CONCERN BEGINNING ON
SUNDAY.  A WEAK IMPULSE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NRN CA/SRN ORE
COAST ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION.  GIVEN THE DEEP/WELL-MIXED AFTERNOON
BOUNDARY LAYER AND PW VALUES AOB 0.75 INCH...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
FORM ARE LIKELY TO HAVE HIGH BASES AND PRODUCE LIMITED PRECIPITATION
AT THE GROUND...SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS.

...ECNTRL/NERN NV...WCNTRL UT...
ON THE NRN PERIPHERY OF BETTER MONSOON MOISTURE...THIS REGION IS
LIKELY TO SEE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN.  WITH PW
VALUES AOB 0.75 INCH AND AFTERNOON SURFACE RH VALUES APPROACHING 15
PERCENT...LITTLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE GROUND WITH
ANY STORMS THAT FORM.  THEREFORE...THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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