Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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663 FXUS64 KMEG 091125 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 625 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 350 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 A cold front will push through north Mississippi today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of the front. A few thunderstorms could be severe with large hail and damaging winds possible. The front will stall out across central Mississippi tonight with scattered thunderstorms possible across north Mississippi. High pressure will build into the region on Friday with dry and cooler weather for the weekend. An upper level low pressure system will move across the region bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms for Monday through Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 350 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Skies are cloudy across much of the Mid-South early this morning with temperatures ranging from the mid 60s to upper 70s. Currently, thunderstorms extend across the southern half of the region. Some of the thunderstorms could become severe with damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes possible. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 10 AM CDT. A cold front is just north of the main area of thunderstorms. The Flood Watch will be allowed to expire at 7 AM CDT. As the cold front moves into central Mississippi, the thunderstorms will move out of the Mid-South this afternoon. Temperatures will remain on the warm side today with highs in the mid to upper 80s. The front will stall out across central Mississippi tonight with a few thunderstorms possible across portions of north Mississippi. Cooler air will start to move into northern sections of the Mid-South tonight with lows Friday morning in the mid 50s to lower 60s. High pressure will build into the region on Friday with dry weather expected. Temperatures will be below normal on Friday with highs in the lower 70s to around 80 degrees. The surface high will be east of the region for the weekend. This will mean dry weather and warmer temperatures are expected for Saturday and Sunday. An upper level trough will move across the Plains on Monday and into the lower Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible across the region from Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will remain near or slightly below normal during this period. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 615 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Showers and thunderstorms will continue to move across portions of north Mississippi during the morning hours. MVFR ceilings will remain over north Mississippi this morning, otherwise VFR conditions are expected. A few thunderstorms may develop over portions of north Mississippi tonight but confidence is low that any of them will effect the KTUP area. Winds will shift from the south to the west later today and then to the northwest tonight. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS AVIATION...ARS