Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 261148
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
648 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THIS MORNING WITH A LITTLE BIT OF PATCHY
FOG ACROSS THE NORTH. A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TODAY BUT
NONE OF THE MODELS ARE PICKING UP PRECIPITATION AS IT LOOKS TOO
DRY TO SQUEEZE OUT ANY RAIN AND NO CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY.
SHOULD WARM UP NICELY TODAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S...A FEW
70S FAR NORTH.

TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL BE THE NEXT SYSTEM TO DEAL
WITH. UPPER LOW WILL CLOSE OFF OVER NEW MEXICO AND HEAD EASTWARD
ON MONDAY WITH RAIN ARRIVING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING FOR OUR
SOUTHWESTERN COUNTIES. THE LOWER LATITUDE TRACK WILL KEEP THE
MAJORITY OF STORMS ALONG/NEAR THE GULF COAST. INVERTED SURFACE
TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH ALABAMA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS
LIKELY. RAIN/SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END THE SECOND HALF OF
WEDNESDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES RUNNING A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH NEAR AVERAGE NUMBERS BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

88


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

JUST A FEW HOURS OF IFR BR AND LOW CIGS THIS MORNING. THIS WILL
GIVE WAY TO GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REST
OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 12KTS WITH GUST
UP TO 20KTS AT TIMES AFTER 18Z THROUGH 6Z. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE
NORTHWEST AFTER 00Z FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WINDS CALM SOME NORTH
AFTER 6Z...BUT REMAIN AROUND 7KTS SOUTH.

16

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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