Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 052347
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
547 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.AVIATION...

SKIES ARE CLEAR OVER THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT WITH MVFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO SNOWPACK AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

THE LATEST WINTER STORM IS NOW WELL E OF AR. WITH THE HELP OF
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND A HIGHER SUN ANGLE FOR EARLY MARCH...THE
MELTING PROCESS HAS BEEN IN FULL SWING ACRS THE FA THIS AFTN. AT MID
AFTN...ALL BUT PARTS OF NERN AR WERE ABV THE FRZG MARK.

HIGH PRES WL SETTLE OVR THE MID SOUTH TNGT. WITH WINDS BCMG LGT AND
MAINLY CLR SKIES...THE MERCURY WL DROP QUICKLY. LOWS BY FRI MRNG WL
BE IN THE SINGLE DIGIT AND TEENS OVR MUCH OF THE FA. THIS WL RESULT
IN THE REFREEZING OF ANY STANDING WATER/RESIDUAL ICE AND SNOW
LEFTOVER FM TODAY...ESP ON SECONDARY ROADS. WL ISSUE AN SPS TO
HIGHLIGHT THIS HAZARD.

AFTER A COLD START TO THE DAY...TEMPS WL WARM QUICKLY ACRS THE AREA
ON FRI. SFC WINDS WL BCM LGT S/SWLY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THANKS TO
HIGH PRES SHIFTING E OF AR. EXPECT MOST LOCATIONS TO CLIMB BACK ABV
THE FRZG MARK BY THE MIDDAY HRS.

HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...HIGH PRES WL RMN SITUATED TO THE S OF
AR...WITH A S/SWLY SFC FLOW CONTG. HIGH TEMPS ON SAT ARE EXPECTED TO
WARM INTO THE LOWER AND MID 50S AT MOST LOCATIONS. READINGS WL DROP
BACK INTO THE 20S AND 30S FOR LOWS...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPS IN
LOCATIONS WHERE SNOW/ICE COVER LINGER.

LONG TERM....SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL START WITH A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE REGION WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH FROM CENTRAL TO EASTERN
U.S. SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS SEEN IN THE ACTIVE SOUTHERN FLOW AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN AR.
INTO MONDAY...THE SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST AND ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN WOULD BE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTHERN AR.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AN UPPER RIDGING PATTERN GRADUALLY SETS
UP OVER THE CENTRAL U.S...WITH WEAKENING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS WILL LEAD TO A WARM UP AND OVERALL DRY WEATHER. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM BACK TO NORMAL VALUES BY MID WEEK...THEN A BIT WARM
THURSDAY.

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY LATE IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST...WITH A
POSSIBLE CLOSED OFF UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER TEXAS...WITH A
POTENTIAL TO EJECT SHORT WAVE ENERGY TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT THIS
TIME WILL HOLD OFF IN ADDING ANY PRECIP TO THE FORECAST 7 DAYS OUT
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR      7  36  17  51 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         18  42  23  55 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR        9  45  29  55 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    15  43  23  54 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  12  39  23  53 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     18  39  26  52 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      14  45  23  56 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR   5  43  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR         6  32  19  45 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     14  36  24  50 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   13  44  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR          8  35  17  50 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      11  34  22  49 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51




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