Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 032352
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
652 PM EST Sat Dec 3 2016

.AVIATION...NE winds 5-8kts at most sites overnight, with
potential for KFXE and KTMB to back a little more N or NNW if
atmosphere is able to decouple. Dry conditions expected through
TAF cycle, but stratocu over Atlantic may lead to periodic MVFR
cigs along east coast around FL030. Winds increase to 12-15kts
from the ESE after 14Z, with some gusts 15-20kts along the east
coast.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 PM EST Sat Dec 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...Today through Monday... Scattered cumulus clouds are
lingering along the east coast and southern portion of Miami Dade
county late this afternoon while mostly clear conditions prevail
towards the interior and west. Drier air has made its way over
South Fl diminishing any potential for rain the remainder of today
into tonight. A few light showers could still be possible
tomorrow afternoon mainly along the east coast metro areas as
winds gradually veer east to southeast with low level moisture
gradually returning into South Florida. High temps will be near
normal today and Sunday.

Weather pattern begins to change into next week as strong low
pressure system setting up over Baja CA gradually lifts northeast
into the Central and Southeast plains pulling abundant Gulf moisture
into the area late Monday into Tuesday. Humidity values increase
with precipitable water values up to 1.6 to 1.9 inches. The center
of the low will still be further west into the Gulf waters Monday
limiting significant precipitation over the western counties of S
Fl. The chances of rain will be increasing to more widespread showers
and possible storms early Tuesday as the low moves much closer into
the area. Front associated with this system will push through the
region by the later part of the week. This will be a more decent
cold front for South Florida with air behind this front to be of
Arctic origin. Temps will be a few degrees above normal through
mid week but begin to cool down Thursday night into Friday with
the frontal passage. Temperatures could lowered into the 40s over
the northern counties and low 50s to near 60s along the Atlantic
and Gulf coast with a northerly flow in place. Still a lot of time
to monitor trends as we`re still about a week away.

MARINE...Northeast winds will gradually veer east and southeast
into Sunday and Monday remaining close to 15 to 20 knots. High
pressure towards the north will be shifting to the east over the
Atlantic veering winds through early part of the week. Another low
pressure system approaching the Gulf waters by next week will
enhance showers and possible thunderstorms late Monday into
Tuesday increasing winds and the potential for Small Craft
Advisories. At this time the winds will range between 15 to 20
knots which caution level conditions are continuing to be present.

BEACH FORECAST...Northeast wind around 15 to 20 knot will
continue tonight leading to continuation of a high risk of rip
currents at the Atlantic beaches from this morning through Sunday
night, with elevated rip current risk likely into Monday. &&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  69  80  73  82 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  71  81  75  81 /  10  10  10  10
Miami            70  82  74  83 /  10  10  10  10
Naples           65  84  70  84 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday morning for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.

&&

AVIATION...88/ALM
DISCUSSION...67/MT
MARINE...67/MT
BEACH FORECAST...67/MT







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