Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 270544
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1244 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.AVIATION...
Benign weather continues today across South Florida with VFR
conditions prevailing through the period. A few passing showers
will be possible over the east coast terminals but will not cause
any significant impacts to the terminals. Northeast to east flow
around 10 to 15 knots will begin to increase with a few gusts in
the afternoon hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 739 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017/

UPDATED...
The weather should remain quite over most of South Florida
tonight, except for the east coast metro areas where a few showers
could work into the area from the Atlantic waters on the easterly
wind flow. Therefore, no changes are planned for tonight over
South Florida.

UPDATE...54/BNB

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 706 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017/

AVIATION...
A cold front has moved out of the area. This front caused the
increase in wind, which will relax some overnight, but pick up
once again tomorrow, but turn more southeasterly. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are forecast through the TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 336 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017/

High Risk of Rip Currents through Tuesday night east coast
beaches of South Florida...

DISCUSSION...
A cold front over the Florida Straits, will continue to move
slowly southeast, away from South Florida tonight through
Tuesday. High pressure will also move slowly east from the the
southeastern United States into the Western Atlantic Waters. This
will allow a tight pressure gradient to set up over South Florida,
leading to breezy easterly winds. There could also be a few
isolated showers over the east coast metro areas and the adjacent
coastal waters. Therefore, a 20 percent chance of showers is in
the forecast for the east coast metro areas through Tuesday
including the Atlantic and Biscayne Bay waters.

EXTENDED FORECAST...
The high will break down for the second half of this week,
allowing for a cold front to work down into South Florida from the
North. This will allow for the winds to relax and become more
southerly over the area. There will also be a slight chance of
showers over most of South Florida for the second half of the
week.

The front will wash out early this weekend over South Florida, as
another strong high pressure system moves into the Southeastern
United States from the west. This will once again tighten the
pressure gradient over South Florida this weekend leading to
breezy to windy easterly wind flow along with a slight chance of
showers over the east coast metro areas.

MARINE...
Easterly wind of 15 to 20 knots will affect all of South Florida
waters tonight, except for Palm Beach waters where they will be
around 20 knots. The easterly wind will then decrease to 10 to 15
knots on Monday into Tuesday, except for the Atlantic and
Biscayne Bay waters where they will be 15 to 20 knots.

The Gulf seas will be less than 6 feet tonight through Tuesday.
The Atlantic seas will be 4 to 6 feet, except for the Palm Beach
County waters where they will be 5 to 7 feet tonight. Therefore,
an SCA will be in place tonight for the Palm Beach Waters with
rest of South Florida waters in an SCEC condition.

BEACH FORECAST...
The breezy easterly wind will lead to a high risk of Rip Currents
for the east coast beaches of South Florida through Tuesday
night.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  82  72  82  72 /  20  20  20  20
Fort Lauderdale  82  74  82  74 /  20  20  20  20
Miami            83  73  83  73 /  10  10  10  10
Naples           84  67  84  67 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ650-670.

GM...None.
&&




AVIATION...67/MT







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