Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 300408
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1108 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Stratus development is expected between 10z and 12z and KSOA and
KJCT, with VFR conditions returning by late morning. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday, but
confidence is too low to include in the current TAF package.
Southeast winds will remain below 10 knots through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 607 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Stratus will result in MVFR ceilings after 12z at the southern 3
sites, with VFR conditions returning by late morning. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Tuesday,
at mainly the southern sites, but confidence is too low to include
in the TAF package. Winds will generally be from the east to
southeast at less than 10 knots.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 344 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Tuesday)

Going with mainly a dry forecast for tonight, besides slight chance
Pops across the southern 1/3 of the area. Thunderstorms currently
developing south of the Northern Edwards Plateau and a few storms
may make it into our area through this evening.

For Tuesday, low level moisture begins to slowly increase across the
southern half of the area. The moisture will combine with weak
instability for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
mainly during the afternoon, south of a Sweetwater to Brownwood
line. The highest PoPs(chance) will be across the Northern
Edwards Plateau. Highs will be in the 80s.

$$

21

LONG TERM...
(Wednesday-Tuesday)

A wet pattern continues through the week and into the weekend,
with isolated severe storms possible. Looks like the best chance
of rain will be Wednesday through Thursday.

Upper trough digging over Baja California Tuesday will shift
slowly east on Wednesday toward the Big Bend region. Will see
moisture increasing at the surface, with thunderstorms possible
mainly southwest texas during the day Wednesday. Rainfall
increases across much of west and central Texas Wednesday night
and Thursday as the upper trough moves into the area. With cooler
temperatures due to cloud cover and rain, not expecting a lot of
instability, so severe weather will be somewhat limited. Rain
continues off and on through the rest of the week as another weak
trough develops to the west, keeping the area in a moist and
slightly unstable pattern. Hard to tell details of rain locations
this far out, as each day`s forecast will be dependent on
mesoscale features and where the boundaries end up from previous
storms. Rain should begin to clear out for Sunday and Monday.
Temperatures remain in the 80s and 90s for the next several days.

08

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  60  86  66  81 /  10  10  20  40
San Angelo  62  87  66  80 /  10  20  30  60
Junction  62  84  66  81 /  20  20  30  50
Brownwood  60  84  65  81 /  10  20  20  40
Sweetwater  60  86  65  80 /  10  20  30  40
Ozona       62  84  65  78 /  20  30  40  60

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Daniels



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