Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 022043
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
342 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Wednesday)

Upper level ridging is in place across Texas this afternoon,
keeping the afternoon warm, but not as hot as yesterday. Mid to
upper 90s are common, with a few readings near 100 degrees.
Farther south, Tropical Storm Dolly continues to make slow
progress toward the Mexican coast south of Brownsville, and is
expected to move into Mexico over the next day before losing its
tropical storm designation. Closer to home, scattered showers have
developed along and southeast of the I-35 corridor this afternoon,
but are running into stronger subsidence from ridging in our area,
and aren`t likely to make it into west central Texas tonight, so
have kept the forecast dry tonight. Tomorrow, as Dolly`s influence
spreads a little farther north, we could see some of the showers
and thunderstorms make it into our southern counties, so have
brought a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms to areas
roughly along and south of a line from San Saba, to Brady, to
Barnhart for tomorrow afternoon. Otherwise, models continue to
indicate a slight cooling for temperatures in the low levels
tomorrow, so have continued the trend for slightly cooler highs on
Wednesday. However, overnight lows will remain warm, with mainly
mid and upper 70s tonight.

20

.LONG TERM...
/Wednesday Night through Saturday/
An upper level ridge of high pressure will dominate the weather
across West Central Texas into early this weekend. Looks like the
moisture from the remnants of Dolly make it as far north along the
Rio Grande river valley and deep south Texas, still remaining south
of our area. However, and isolated shower or storm is not out of the
question along the I-10 corridor mainly during the afternoon and
early evening hours. Will keep this part of the extended forecast
dry for now. Temperatures will be close to seasonable levels and
staying below 100 for highs.

/Saturday Night through next Tuesday/
Looks like the better chance for rain will be over the last part of
the weekend into Monday morning. The combination of a weak cool
front/thunderstorm outflow boundary moving south from Oklahoma and
Northwest Texas, will bring isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of a San Angelo to San Saba line. The highest
rain chances will be north of the I-20 corridor. The early part of
next week will see dry conditions return to the area.

21

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  76  97  74  95  73 /   5   5   5   5   5
San Angelo  75  96  74  95  74 /   5  10  10  10   5
Junction  75  93  74  93  74 /  10  20  10  10   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$









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