Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 231114
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
514 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the next 24
hours. Southwest winds will increase to 12 to 18 knots, with
higher gusts, by late morning, becoming light and variable early
this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 359 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)

Near record high temperatures are expected across West Central Texas
today. West winds will increase to 12 to 22 mph this afternoon along
with temperatures well above seasonal normals as a dryline moves
through most of the forecast area. Highs this afternoon will mainly
be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. The current daily record high
temperatures are 85 set in 2012 at San Angelo and 89 set in 1918 at
Abilene.  Critical fire weather conditions are expected across
western portions of the forecast area this afternoon and this is
discussed in further detail below. Overnight low temperatures will
be above seasonal normals, in the mid 40s to near 50 degrees.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Thursday)

Expect cooler temperatures and gusty northwest winds Friday behind a
cold front. Temperatures by Saturday will be closer to slightly
below normal, with highs 55-65. Expect cool mornings this weekend
with lows in the 30s Saturday morning. A few upper 20s are possible
along the I-10 corridor, mainly low lying areas and river valleys,
due to ideal radiational cooling conditions. A warmup is expected
for early next week, with highs around 80 by Tuesday. Expect cooler
temperatures for the middle of next week behind a another cold
front. Upper level westerly flow will result in a dry forecast
during the next 7 days.

21

FIRE WEATHER...

Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon
generally across western portions of the Big Country, Concho Valley,
and Crockett County and a Red Flag Warning is in effect from 11 AM
until 8 PM. Minimum relative humidity values this afternoon will
drop to 10 to 20 percent, while 20 foot winds increase to 18 to 22
mph. Elsewhere, elevated fire weather conditions are expected.
Afternoon high temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

On Friday, elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are
expected as minimum relative humidity values drop to 10 to 20
percent and 20 foot winds increase to 12 to 18 mph. Cooler
temperatures are expected on Saturday along with slightly higher
minimum relative humidity values in the 25 to 30 percent range.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  88  47  69  32 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  91  47  72  32 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  90  48  74  32 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  89  47  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  87  46  68  31 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       89  46  71  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CST this
evening for Coke-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-
Sterling-Taylor-Tom Green.

&&

$$

Daniels


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