Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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445
FXUS64 KSJT 041103
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
603 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

All terminals will be VFR through the next 24 hours. The northern
terminals will have light northerly winds becoming light and
variable by 00Z. The southern terminals will have light and
variable winds through the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 404 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Upper ridge will build east over western Texas through tonight with
a resultant northwest flow aloft over the forecast area. Mostly
clear skies and dry conditions are on tap for the forecast area with
afternoon highs warming into the lower 80s area-wide. Morning lows
tomorrow will be in the the low to mid 50s.

LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)

An upper level ridge will migrate from the Rockies and over the
Plains Thursday into Friday, ahead of a large upper low dropping
south along the California coast. West Central Texas will
experience dry and warm conditions both days, with highs in the
80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Light
southeast winds on Thursday will become gusty from the south on
Friday as a lee trough develops.

The upper low will be slow to move east and by Sunday, the medium
range models have it situated over the Four Corners region, with
a slow progression east into the Central Plains early next week.
This system and associated disturbances ahead of it, will provide
the lift needed for convective development along the dryline as
early as Saturday evening across western counties and area-wide
Sunday into early next week. As was mentioned previously, severe
thunderstorms remain a possibility later this weekend into early
next week and details concerning the severe potential should
become more clear over the next few days. High temperatures
Saturday through Tuesday will remain in the 80s, with overnight
lows in the 60s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  80  54  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  83  53  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  84  51  86  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/99



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