Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 301947
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
347 PM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE NIGHT. MAYBE BE SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS THIS EVENING, BUT NOTHING MAJOR. SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. NOT LOOKING LIKE A
BIG PRECIP PRODUCER, THOUGH, WITH TOTALS GENERALLY BEING UNDER A
QUARTER INCH. LOOKS TOO STABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXCEPT PERHAPS
FAR WESTERN AREAS.
&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LOW OVER QUEBEC WILL LIFT INTO THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES DURING THIS TIME FRAME AND BE REPLACED BY WEAK
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.  SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS BRING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CLOSE THE CROWN OF
MAINE ON INDEPENDENCE DAY.  THE GFS IS 3 TO 6 HOURS FASTER WITH THIS
FEATURE.  MOTHER NATURE MAY SUPPLY ITS OWN FIREWORKS FOR THE
HOLIDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT SETS UP ALONG THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND MAY EXPERIENCE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR
THE FIRST TIME SINCE LATE MAY.  HUMIDITY LEVELS MAY ALSO INCREASE TO
SUMMERTIME NORMS WITH VALUES IN THE 60S. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH FROM QUEBEC TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR THIS EVENING. IFR CEILINGS LIKELY TO DEVELOP AROUND
MIDNIGHT KBGR AND KBHB, AND POSSIBLY NORTH TO KHUL, AS MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES. THE DAY WEDNESDAY LOOKS CLOUDY AND BORDERLINE
MVFR/VFR FOR MOST AREAS ONCE THE MORNING LOW CLOUDS LIFT.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TAF SITES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO SHOWERS.

MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR
PQI/ ON INDEPENDENCE DAY DUE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS REMAINING BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE FORECAST FOR THIS TIME FRAME.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...FOISY
SHORT TERM...OKULSKI
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...FOISY/OKULSKI
MARINE...FOISY/OKULSKI


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