Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KCRP 190547 AAC
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1247 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...LITTLE CHANGES NEEDED TO THE 06Z TAFS. HOWEVER...BASED
ON LATEST GUIDANCE DID ADD AT SOME STRATUS/BR AT THE VCT TAF SITE.
ANY LOW CLOUDS AND REDUCED VSBYS AT ALI/VCT SHOULD LIFT AROUND 14Z
OR 15Z ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS TODAY...AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR SHOWER AND STORMS WITH VCSH
AND VCTS REMARKS FOR NOW. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT...LESS THAN 12 KNOTS. IF ANY CONVECTION DIRECTLY IMPACTS
A TERMINAL...THEN REDUCED VSBYS AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE
POSSIBLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 910 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...LATEST GOES SOUNDER IMAGE OF PRECIPITABLE WATER SHOWS
DEEPER MOISTURE AXIS FROM THE UPPER TEXAS COAST INTO THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS AND WESTWARD INTO THE HILL COUNTRY. CONVECTION OVER THE
HILL COUNTRY HAS SENT OUT A WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. NAM/ECMWF SHOW
925MB FLOW 20-25 KNOTS OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY OVERNIGHT AND EXPECT
THIS WILL MAINTAIN A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS JUST NORTH OF A
LINE FROM COTULLA TO VICTORIA. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN WEAKLY
DIFLUENT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WILL KEEP
THE HIGHER POPS GOING FOR THE NORTHERN COUNTIES TONIGHT...AND LOWER
THEM SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES FOR REST OF THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 634 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE THIS
EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF ALI AND CRP TAF SITES...WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT VCT TAF SITE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OVERNIGHT EXPECT
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS...BUT TEMPO MVFR POSSIBLE FOR ALI AND LRD
TAF SITES TOWARD MORNING. ANOTHER DAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS ON FRIDAY...AGAIN THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE IN THE VCT
REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    76  91  75  92  75  /  20  20  20  20  10
VICTORIA          74  93  75  93  74  /  20  30  10  20  10
LAREDO            76  96  78  96  78  /  20  30  20  20  10
ALICE             74  93  75  93  73  /  20  30  10  20  10
ROCKPORT          78  90  78  90  77  /  20  20  20  20  10
COTULLA           75  96  76  94  75  /  20  30  10  20  10
KINGSVILLE        75  93  75  92  75  /  20  30  10  20  10
NAVY CORPUS       79  91  79  90  78  /  20  20  20  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

TB/78...AVIATION




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.