Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 290555
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1255 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...Note Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...A transition to a mixture of MVFR/VFR conditions
during the next several hours expected. Isolated/scattered showers
anticipated over the Coastal Bend/Victoria Crossroads during the
mid/late morning hours. Isolated/scattered showers and
thunderstorms expected during the afternoon/early evening Monday
mainly over the Coastal Bend/Victoria Crossroads. Predominate VFR
conditions late evening Monday transitioning to a mixture of
VFR/MVFR near the end of the TAF period. Light N/NE wind Monday
morning transitioning to E Monday afternoon/evneing.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 924 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016/

DISCUSSION... Update below.

Convection has been waining across coastal portions of Texas this
evening with loss of daytime heating. Upper level low can be seen
on water vapor imagery across the Upper Texas Coast. Drier air has
wrapped around the western side of this system into portions of
the Coastal Bend and Coastal Plains. Scattered showers are still
moving into the northern zones of the Middle Texas Coastal waters
this evening, and have maintained chance PoPs across these areas
through the night. Further inland and over the southern marine
zones have lowered PoPs for late tonight into early Monday
morning. With drier air entrained over the area, highest chances
for showers and storms will remain over the Victoria Crossroads
and northern Middle Texas Coastal Waters through the night. Hi-res
models support this, showing majority of convection holding off on
moving into the area until tomorrow as the upper low works further
west and South Texas fall under more unstable conditions.
Otherwise, the rest of the forecast package appears well on track
at this time and no other updates were needed at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    76  90  76  92  77  /  50  60  40  50  20
Victoria          74  89  74  93  75  /  40  50  30  40  10
Laredo            76  93  75  94  76  /  30  50  30  40  30
Alice             74  91  74  93  75  /  40  60  40  50  20
Rockport          78  90  78  91  79  /  50  60  40  40  10
Cotulla           75  92  75  94  76  /  30  50  30  30  20
Kingsville        74  90  75  93  75  /  40  60  50  50  20
Navy Corpus       78  88  79  90  80  /  60  60  40  50  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

WC/87...AVIATION



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