Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS64 KMEG 250446

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1146 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016

Updated to add 06Z Aviation Discussion.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 838 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016/

The cold front has moved through much of the CWA as of this
evening. A surface analysis indicated only a weak thermal gradient
across the region, with a more noticeable change in moisture
content north of the boundary. This front should continue to sag
south overnight, with drier air infiltrating the region.

Mostly clear and cool conditions are anticipated across the Mid-
South tonight. Winds will continue from the east and northeast for
the most part, generally remaining under 5 mph. With the drier
air settling over the region, light winds, and clear skies,
temperatures are forecast to fall into the mid 40s to lower 50s
overnight. The coolest locations will likely remain over portions
of western TN, especially areas in the east toward the Tennessee
River Valley. Warm and dry weather is forecast to Tuesday. Expect
high temperatures ranging from the low/mid 70s north of I-40 to
the upper 70s and lower 80s farther south.


PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued at 415 PM CDT Mon Oct 24 2016 by
National Weather Service Nashville TN/


Apologies for the late issuance of products. Unfortunately,
several software issues have caused loss of all data twice this

Forecast for the Midsouth remains benign through the rest of the
month, with the main theme being above normal temperatures and
little in the way of precipitation. Low in the upper 40s and 50s
with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s are expected the next several
days, which is up to 15 degrees above normal. Cold front expected
to move through the Midsouth from Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night, with slight to low chance pops across northeast
Arkansas and the Missouri bootheel late Wednesday and all areas
Wednesday night. K-index values top out in the low 30s so will
continue mention of a few thunderstorms possible during this time

After fropa, not much of a cooldown is anticipated from Thursday
into the weekend with continued above normal temperatures. 12Z
GFS/ECMWF show no precipitation over the Midsouth the rest of
October and will keep forecast dry for the remainder of the
forecast period.



06Z TAFs

Cold front will continue to push through the remainder of the area
overnight. Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail through
the period.




$$ is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.