Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 062047
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
247 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

THE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEDGE FRONT HAVE DISSIPATED AND
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH ALL AREAS FALLING BELOW FREEZING. DO NOT
EXPECT ANY TEENS SATURDAY MORNING...BUT LOW 20S POSSIBLE IN THE
COLDER VALLEYS. A NICE WARM-UP THIS WEEKEND AS THE COLD AIR MASS
SHIFTS EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR
AVERAGE VALUES BY SUNDAY. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
SATURDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THE
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ON SUNDAY WHICH MAY TURN OUT TO BE A
MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY. SOUTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL BRING RAIN INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.


.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AN UPPER TROF WILL REMAIN OVER TEXAS ALL NEXT WEEK AND FEED PACIFIC
MOISTURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. FAIRLY HIGH RAIN
CHANCES WILL PREVAIL ALL NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL
NOT CHANGE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS NO INTRUSION OF COLD
AIR INTO THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD...SO TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING. EAST OR NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW
THROUGH THURSDAY WILL KEEP THE GULF MOISTURE CONFINED TO THE
COAST...AND NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED. AS THE UPPER TROF
AMPLIFIES LATE IN THE WEEK...HIGHER MARINE MOISTURE MAY PUSH NORTHWARD
AND INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

58/ROSE


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MVFR CIGS HAVE PUSHED WESTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF
ALABAMA THIS MORNING. HAVE ADJUSTED THE TAF FORECAST TO ALLOW FOR
BROKEN CIGS TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST 20-21Z...THEN HOPEFULLY MIXING
TO VFR FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. THE ONLY TERMINAL NOT
EXPECTED TO BE IMPACTED IS KTCL. VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. NORTHERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON.

56/GDG


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     24  58  31  62  42 /   0   0   0  10  40
ANNISTON    25  60  34  65  45 /   0   0   0  10  40
BIRMINGHAM  25  60  35  65  44 /   0   0   0  10  40
TUSCALOOSA  27  60  37  65  45 /   0   0   0  10  40
CALERA      27  60  37  66  46 /   0   0   0  10  40
AUBURN      30  62  40  68  49 /   0   0   0   0  30
MONTGOMERY  28  63  37  69  48 /   0   0   0  10  30
TROY        29  64  39  70  50 /   0   0   0  10  40

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$






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