Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 210201
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
901 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP EASTERLY FLOW FROM SURFACE THROUGH 10K FEET. AIR MASS IS MUCH
DRIER IN THE LOW LEVELS THAN LAST NIGHT AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE A RETURN
OF LOW CLOUDS SUNDAY MORNING. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
HOURLY WEATHER ELEMENTS...BUT NO CHANGES TO OVERNIGHT LOWS.

58/ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT WITH FOG DEVELOPMENT
UNLIKELY WITH DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BEGIN ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA. THE FORECAST WILL BEGIN OCTOBER 5TH AT 00Z
AND LAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

56/GDG


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 652 PM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014/

EASTERLY FLOW HAS BEEN A LITTLE BIT OF A TROUBLE MAKER AS THE LOW
CLOUDS HAVE BEEN STUBBORN TO BURN OFF IN THE EAST. WITH THAT SAID
THOUGH THE OVERALL FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND ONLY LOOKING AT A FEW
CHANGES OVER THE NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS.

A FAIRLY DRY COLD...BUT POTENT...FRONT WILL WORK INTO THE NORTH AS
EARLY AS 4 PM SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THINKING THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH FROM 7PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. AFTER THE DAYTIME HEATING LOSS...SHOWERS WILL BECOME
MORE ISOLATED AND MAY EVEN DISSIPATE TOTALLY BY SUNRISE MONDAY.
WILL CONTINUE WITH ISOLATED CHANCES OF RAIN MONDAY MORNING IN THE
SOUTH AS THE MODELS SEEM TO UNDERDONE IN THE RAIN CHANCES ALONG
THE FRONT. WITH THE POTENCY OF THE FRONT...IT SHOULD CLEAR THE
AREA MUCH QUICKER THAN THE PREVIOUS FRONT AND ALLOW FOR A
POTENTIAL COOL DOWN FOR MIDWEEK.

A RETURN TO EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD BRING MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCES
BACK INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     61  86  59  79  54 /   0  20  30  10   0
ANNISTON    63  86  62  79  55 /   0  10  30  20   0
BIRMINGHAM  64  88  62  80  56 /   0  10  30  20   0
TUSCALOOSA  65  90  63  83  56 /   0  10  20  20   0
CALERA      64  88  63  82  57 /   0  10  20  20   0
AUBURN      64  88  66  84  59 /   0  10  20  20  10
MONTGOMERY  66  90  67  87  59 /   0  10  20  20  10
TROY        65  89  65  87  60 /   0  10  10  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$







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