Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 010531
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1131 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A TALE OF TWO AIRMASSES RIGHT NOW. DEWPOINTS IN THE NORTH AND EAST
ARE STILL IN THE TEENS AND LOW 20S...WHILE AREAS IN THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST ARE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE
THE MORE MOIST AIR SLIDE NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND TEMPERATURES
WILL NOT FALL THAT MUCH FURTHER DOWN. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
UPWARD IN THE WEST. IT IS WARMER RIGHT NOW IN HALEYVILLE IN THE
NORTHWEST AS IT IS IN EUFAULA IN THE SOUTHEAST. UPDATES HAVE BEEN
SENT.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SOME LOWER CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO WORK IN OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS IN THE
SOUTH WILL BE EVEN LOWER AND NEAR MVFR BY 14Z. RAIN MOVES IN AFTER
18Z...ALONG WITH MUCH LOWER CEILINGS...IFR. MODELS ARE EVEN
ANTICIPATING LIFR CONDITIONS AFTER 21Z...BUT WILL HOLD ONTO JUST
THE IFR FOR NOW WITH 2SM AND RAIN. ONCE THE IFR CEILINGS WORK IN
THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH MORE IMPROVEMENT THROUGH THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED STORM AFTER 18Z AS
WELL...BUT CHANCES ARE TOO SLIM TO INCLUDE.

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     35  57  36  41  22 /   0  80  90  10   0
ANNISTON    38  58  37  43  24 /   0  80  90  10   0
BIRMINGHAM  40  59  36  42  25 /   0  80  90  10   0
TUSCALOOSA  45  61  38  44  25 /  10  80  90  10   0
CALERA      41  59  37  44  27 /   0  80  90  10   0
AUBURN      41  60  42  47  27 /   0  80  90  10   0
MONTGOMERY  40  65  43  49  27 /   0  80  90  10   0
TROY        38  64  44  51  26 /   0  80  90  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








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