Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMLB 251245
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
845 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY SWINGING THROUGH THE
STATE AT THIS HOUR...KICKING THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE BAHAMAS
FURTHER NORTH AND EAST. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY...WEAKENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT. NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME
NORTH-NORTHEAST BY THE AFTERNOON AROUND 10 MPH...A LITTLE HIGHER
ALONG THE COAST.

OTHERWISE...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES OVER THE INTERIOR AND PARTLY CLOUDY
AT THE COAST AS LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES A LITTLE MORE NORTHEAST AND
MARINE STRATOCU MOVES BACK ONSHORE. FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH NO
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER
80S AREAWIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. OCCASIONAL CIGS FROM ONSHORE MOVING MARINE STRATOCU
FL035-050 BRUSHING COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER EAST FROM THE BAHAMAS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE GULF. GRADIENT HAS WEAKENED AS A RESULT
SO HAVE ALLOWED THE ADVISORY OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF STREAM TO EXPIRE
IN FAVOR OF A CAUTIONARY STATEMENT.

OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPED OVER LAND LAST NIGHT WHICH HAS BACKED WINDS
NEAR THE COAST TO THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10KTS. FURTHER
OFFSHORE...WINDS CONTINUE FROM THE NORTH GENERALLY 10-15KTS...WITH
15-20KTS OVER THE GULF STREAM SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. TREND FOR
THE DAY WILL BE FOR WINDS TO BECOME NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHEAST
10-15KTS OVER ALL THE WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON.

SEAS WILL BE SLOWER TO SUBSIDE WITH 4-6 FT AND CHOPPY OVER THE GULF
STREAM AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE. INTRACOASTAL WATERS WILL ALSO CONTINUE
TO BE CHOPPY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PCT NEAR AND NORTH OF
THE I-4 CORRIDOR FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTN. DISPERSION INDICES WILL
BE GENERALLY GOOD AREAWIDE. LOWER RH VALUES EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTN
OVER THE NORTH INTERIOR REACHING 25-30 PERCENT BUT WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT N/NE.

&&


.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE

&&

$$

MOSES/GLITTO






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