Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMLB 260054
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
854 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2016

.UPDATE...
Convective coverage was hard to come by this afternoon and
evening as a relatively stable low/mid level environment on the
backside of a mid and upper level low overcame any moisture
increase that took place today.

Greatest chance for showers next two to three hours will occur
over Lake County as low level sea breeze collision takes place.
Continued warm temperatures aloft suggest activity will not be
able to sustain itself very long, so have elected to remove PoPs
in this area after 10PM. Some of the activity may try to push back
toward the NE as the flow above 900mb has veered further and is
now out of the SW per the 23Z XMR sounding. Regardless, little
more than a few showers are expected.

Current forecast remains on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
Continued VFR outside of isolated SHRA in and around KLEE through
03Z. Light/variable winds overnight will give way to widely
scattered afternoon storms on Tuesday favoring the interior, more
isolated along the coast.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally favorable boating conditions continue with seas 1-2 feet
nearshore and 2 feet offshore. ESE/SE winds will become southerly
by late this evening and perhaps even develop a slight offshore
component overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  75  91  75  93 /  10  20  20  20
MCO  74  94  75  94 /  20  40  20  30
MLB  77  91  78  91 /  10  20  10  20
VRB  75  91  74  91 /  10  20  10  20
LEE  76  94  77  94 /  20  40  20  30
SFB  75  93  76  94 /  20  40  20  30
ORL  75  93  76  94 /  20  40  20  30
FPR  75  91  75  91 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Ulrich
LONG TERM....Pendergrast
AVIATION...99



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