Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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000
FXUS61 KILN 251835
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
135 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA
TODAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WORKING IN
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MOST OF THE RAIN SHOWERS NOW DISSIPATING AND HEADING EAST...WITH
BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS WORKING INTO WESTERN INDIANA. THE ONLY
LOCATION TO EXPECT SOME CLEARING BY 6 PM WILL BE IN THE FAR SW
FORECAST AREA. HAVE ADJUSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN SLIGHTLY AGAIN
WITH THE LINGERING CLOUDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS THIS EVENING THROUGH
MOST OF FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON
SATURDAY AND MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY RAIN WITH
THIS SYSTEM HOWEVER AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY BEFORE PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END SUNDAY
EVENING. MODELS HAVE COME IN FURTHER SOUTH ON MONDAY. LIMITED ANY
PRECIPITATION MENTION TO A SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE SE.

WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY TUESDAY. THE 12Z
GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE ECMWF AND PARALLEL GFS FOCUS MORE ON
THE SOUTHERN STREAM FOR PRECIP PRODUCTION. THIS FORECAST WILL
INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES WERE DECREASED
A BIT FOR THIS SAME TIME IN THE EVENT TROUGHING DOES BECOME MORE
PREVALENT ACROSS THE EAST.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. CLEARING WILL
OCCUR TOWARDS 00Z. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KT WILL
WEAKEN AND BACK TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JDR
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...SHOBE2
AVIATION...JDR






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