Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMFL 290001
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
801 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.UPDATE...
THE WIND IS BEGINNING TO RELAX ACROSS THE AREA AND FORECAST SEAS
ARE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS, SO HAVE ALLOWED THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT THIS TIME. HAVE ALSO DROPPED THE HIGH RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE GULF. OTHERWISE, QUIET WEATHER THROUGH
THE DAY TOMORROW WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS FOR SOUTH
FLORIDA THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WIND WILL TURN MORE NORTHEAST BY
TOMORROW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AFTER A HOT DAY YESTERDAY...TODAY IS ABOUT 20F DEGREES COOLER AS
NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO SEND COOL AIR STRAIGHT DOWN THE
PENINSULA. TEMPS HAVE BEEN RUNNING A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN
FORECAST...SO HAVE ADJUSTED DOWN BY A FEW DEGREES. A CHILLY NIGHT
IS IN STORE FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S AT MOST
LOCALES.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WILL SHIFT EASTWARD BEGINNING
TOMORROW...AND THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BECOME NORTHEASTERLY AND
EVENTUALLY EASTERLY OFF THE WARM GULF STREAM CURRENT. THIS ALONG
WITH THE STRONG LATE MARCH SUN WILL LEAD TO WARMING TEMPS.
ALSO...THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL LIFT OUT WITH A MORE
QUASI-ZONAL FLOW TAKING OVER. THE END RESULT IS FOR TEMPS TO CLIMB
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE AS WE ENTERING THE FIRST WEEK OF APRIL.
MARCH WILL BE GOING OUT LIKE A LAMB WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS BY THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

AT LEAST A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS, PERHAPS MODERATE, WILL BE
IN PLACE FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES ON SUNDAY. THE RIP CURRENT RISK
IS LESSENING FOR THE GULF BEACHES AS WINDS BECOME MORE
NORTHERLY/OFFSHORE. /GREGORIA

MARINE...OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS PREVAILING OUT OF THE NW AT
10-15 KT ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS...SLIGHTLY HIGHER BEING
REGISTERED OVER LAKE OKEECHOBEE. SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM WILL
CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS AT LEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. ONCE
THE LATEST NWPS RUN COMES IN, WE WILL MAKE ANY TIMING ADJUSTMENTS
TO THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE ATLANTIC...IF NEEDED. WINDS
WILL PREVAIL OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH SUN BEFORE BECOMING NE AND
EVENTUALLY OUT OF THE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SEAS GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  53  74  59  77 /   0   0   0  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  58  75  64  77 /   0   0  10  10
MIAMI            56  77  62  80 /   0   0  10  10
NAPLES           53  76  55  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13/SI
LONG TERM....57/DG
AVIATION...13/SI


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