Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 210132
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
832 PM EST Sat Jan 20 2018

.UPDATE...
Mid/Upper level shortwave trough across srn MS/AL will slide
eastward across north FL late tonight. Extensive mid and upper level
cloudiness will continue to stream across east central FL ahead of
the approaching mid level wave. Some non precip returns continue
across the srn counties with some sprinkles approaching the west
coast. Will continue current forecast with slight chance for
sprinkles across the central/nrn zones through the night and then
will introduce a low shower chance across far nrn Lake and far nrn
Volusia. Both the 18z GFS/NAM indicating some light QPF as deepening
mid level moisture and mid level vorticity provide sufficient
environment for some late night shower development, but still looks
to be on the light side. Lows will remain mild with the considerable
cloud cover ranging from the lower 50s north to mid 50s central and
south but warmer along the Martin county coast, in the upper 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mid level cloudiness will remain generally above 10 kft with mainly
VFR conds outside of low probability for fog development across the
interior late tonight and early Sunday. A few late night light
showers may track north of a KLEE-KDAB line with the approach of the
short wave trough tracking across N FL.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight...NE/E winds generally 10 knots or less with seas 2-4 ft.
Current forecast for the overnight on track.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  51  69  56  73 /  10  20   0   0
MCO  55  76  57  78 /  10  10   0   0
MLB  56  74  61  75 /  10  10   0   0
VRB  56  73  62  76 /  10  10   0   0
LEE  53  73  55  78 /  20  10   0   0
SFB  53  74  55  78 /  10  10   0   0
ORL  55  75  56  78 /  10  10   0   0
FPR  56  74  61  76 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Volkmer/Glitto


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