Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 280126
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
926 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.UPDATE...
Weak shortwave embedded within the base of its parent trough over
the eastern CONUS will continue to wash out as its axis pushes off
the coast. Meanwhile, disturbed surface flow from this afternoon`s
convection will take on a light offshore component overnight as
the axis of weak high pressure remains centered to our south.

Will maintain a low chance for showers across land areas through
04Z/midnight with Volusia County favored as a remnant outflow
boundary from earlier storms continues to push northward.
Elsewhere, energy in association with the shortwave trough passing
overhead may help spark a pop-up shower through the remainder of
the evening.

Forecast from this afternoon remains on track with minimal updates
necessary.

&&

.AVIATION...
Remnant showers will persist through 04Z from KSFB to KDAB,
otherwise dry overnight. VFR prevails through early Wednesday
afternoon before another round of scattered afternoon SHRA/TSRA
develop across east central Florida beginning 19Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Remnant showers and perhaps a storm will move offshore Volusia
county through 04Z/midnight before isolated storms form in the
vicinity of the Gulf Stream overnight. Winds becoming S-SW around
10 knots and gradually veering to SW-W by early Wed. Seas 2-3 ft
near shore and up to 4 feet well offshore.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  72  86  72  87 /  30  40  40  50
MCO  73  89  72  87 /  20  40  30  50
MLB  73  87  73  88 /  20  40  40  40
VRB  72  87  71  88 /  20  50  30  30
LEE  72  87  74  86 /  20  40  40  40
SFB  73  88  73  88 /  20  40  40  50
ORL  73  89  74  89 /  20  40  40  50
FPR  72  87  71  89 /  20  50  30  30

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Ulrich/Pendergrast


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