Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 111314
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
914 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014

.UPDATE...
THE KTBW 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS A LIGHT LOW LEVEL WIND
PROFILE...THOUGH NOT QUITE AS LIGHT AS YESTERDAY. IT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISING TO SEE A WATERSPOUT OR TWO DEVELOP JUST OFF THE COAST AT
SOME TIME THIS MORNING. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...STORM MOTION WILL
BE VERY SLOW TODAY...AS CAN BE SEEN ON RADAR WITH THE STORMS
CURRENTLY LINED UP OFF SHORE. FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...WITH
THE STORMS OVER THE GULF DYING OFF AROUND NOON...RIGHT AS THE SEA
BREEZE DEVELOPS AND FUELS SCATTERED STORMS JUST INLAND FROM THE
COAST. AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE COMES ACROSS THE
STATE...STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE TO NUMEROUS ALONG MUCH OF
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA. SINCE STORM MOTION IS SO
MINIMAL...STORMS WILL BE PROPAGATED MOSTLY BY SEA BREEZE AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...ALLOWING SOME LOCATIONS TO SEE MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE MORNING UPDATE. THE POINT
AND CLICK FORECAST HAS ALREADY BEEN UPDATED.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL BE THREATENED ONCE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
STORM MOTION WILL BE VERY SLOW...SO PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS
MAY LAST A BIT LONGER THAN NORMAL FOR SUMMER THUNDERSTORMS. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL TAKE HOLD AGAIN AFTER SUNSET.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL ZONES WILL REMAIN LIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RIDGE ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
THE ONLY EXPECTED HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN
THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG WITH
CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS...PRIMARILY DURING THE MORNING HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  90  76  91  77 /  60  40  40  20
FMY  92  74  93  76 /  60  20  50  20
GIF  91  74  92  75 /  60  40  40  10
SRQ  89  75  91  75 /  50  40  30  20
BKV  91  72  92  73 /  50  40  40  20
SPG  90  78  90  79 /  50  40  40  20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...18/FLEMING
MARINE...74/WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE





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