Special Weather Statement
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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WWUS85 KABQ 151103
SPSABQ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
503 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

NMZ501>540-152200-
ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-ESTANCIA VALLEY-FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-
SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-UNION COUNTY-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
503 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

...MONSOON MOISTURE RETURNS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
...REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE POSES SERIOUS FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS...

MODEST AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THE
PAST FEW DAYS HAS LED TO MOSTLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING. WE ARE GOING TO SEE
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE THIS WEEK THANKS TO A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
TODAY...A PROLONGED SOUTHERLY FLOW OF AIR OUT OF MEXICO...AND MOST
IMPORTANTLY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM WHAT WILL BE THE REMNANTS
OF HURRICANE ODILE.

HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED TO OUR SOUTHEAST WHILE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IS PASSING WELL TO OUR NORTH. A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
WITH ITS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO
TODAY AND SQUEEZE THROUGH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN GAPS AND PASSES
TONIGHT INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. MEANWHILE A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF
AIR ALOFT WILL BRING HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THIS WILL LEAD
TO AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND RESULT IN MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY.

POWERFUL HURRICANE ODILE IS CHURNING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA EARLY
THIS MORNING. IT IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH TO NORTHWEST RIGHT UP
THE BAJA PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN TURN NORTHEAST INTO
ARIZONA WEDNESDAY AND OVER NEW MEXICO THURSDAY. WHILE ODILE WILL
LOSE ITS HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM STATUS BY THE TIME IT GETS
TO THE LAND OF ENCHANTMENT...THERE WILL STILL BE PLENTY OF DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO DEAL WITH.

WIDESPREAD...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS FORECAST FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. SOME OF THIS RAIN WILL BE HEAVY...CREATING CONCERNS FOR FLASH
FLOODING. THE AREAS WITH THE BIGGEST THREAT FOR SERIOUS FLOODING WILL
BE THE UPPER GILA REGION OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS THE
CAPITAN...NORTHERN SACRAMENTO AND NORTHERN GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. THIS
INCLUDES THE WHITEWATER BALDY BURN SCAR COMPLEX...AND THE WALLOW...
LITTLE BEAR AND WHITE BURN SCARS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES AND LOCALLY UP TO THREE OR FOUR INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS. CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA COULD
RECEIVE ONE HALF TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES...WHILE THE NORTHEAST MAY
GET UP TO ONE HALF INCH.

NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO RESIDENTS...ALONG WITH THOSE PLANNING
TRAVEL OR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES IN THE AREA...SHOULD STAY UP TO DATE
WITH CURRENT FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS. WE ENCOURAGE YOU TO LOOK AT
THE WEEKLY WEATHER BRIEFING SLIDES THAT WILL BE POSTED BY 300 PM THIS
AFTERNOON ON OUR WEBSITE. THIS PRESENTATION WILL PROVIDE MORE DETAILS
TO THE EXPECTED WEATHER IMPACTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO ON LINE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ...OR STAY
INFORMED WITH YOUR PREFERRED BROADCAST...PRINT...OR INTERNET WEATHER
INFORMATION SOURCE.

$$

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