806
FNUS73 KDLH 111029
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crex Unit 64...WI DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
529 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 11.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

RH will reach a minimum in the mid to upper 20 percents this
afternoon ahead of a system that will bring scattered rain
showers and isolated thunderstorms to the burn site overnight.
Winds will be relatively light compared to yesterday, with winds
5-15 mph. Winds may be a little variable, but should primarily be
out of the northwest this morning and then shift to the southwest
this evening.

There will be a break from precipitation Sunday
morning before thunderstorms develop again in the afternoon over
NW Wisconsin. However, the best chance for showers and storms will
be further to the east and the western extent is uncertain at
this time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4900-14600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (56200-71400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  52  57  61  65  66  68  69  69  70
RH..............71  63  53  44  35  33  31  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.9   11  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.6 3.8 5.3 5.9 6.6 7.1 6.2 6.2 6.2
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  14  15  13  12  12  10  10  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   15  46  69  65  66  71  56  56  68

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph shifting to the south.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (59500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (3800
                    knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............69     65     58     56     54     53
RH..............32     40     51     55     61     66
20 ft wind......SW 7   S 6    S 7    S 8    S 8    S 7
20 ft wind gust.11     12     14     14     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....5400   500    500    500    500    400
Transport wind..W 13   S 9    S 14   S 14   S 13   S 12
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100060     4      6      6      5      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 9 to 10 mph late in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4800-23200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (61700-97400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............53     58     68     74     78     78
RH..............71     64     51     41     33     30
20 ft wind......S 7    SW 8   W 9    W 9    NW 10  NW 10
20 ft wind gust.12     13     14     14     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    1800   3700   5800   6300
Transport wind..S 12   SW 13  W 15   NW 14  NW 16  NW 17
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10005      8      23     45     81     95

$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Renae Essenmacher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413729.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL renae.essenmacher@wisconsin.gov