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000
FXUS64 KHUN 251807
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
107 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 107 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

An upper level low across the Western Plains will strengthen and
shift eastward this evening. Remnant MCS`s from this morning have
slowly moved ESE across MO/AR/MS, but have progressively weakened
as they approach a dry and more stable airmass across the
Tennessee Valley. With a stationary front situated in central AL,
this trend should continue overnight. A low chance (20-30%) PoP
was maintained through the overnight hours as we cannot rule out
a light showers from one of the upstream MCS`s. Otherwise, a mild
night is forecast with overnight lows only dipping down into the
upper 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 107 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

On Friday, the aforementioned stationary boundary lifts northward
as a warm front. With the lack of moisture, a dry passage is
expected with just an increase in cloud cover and humidity. As
the series of lows centered over the Plains deepen, the pressure
gradient across the local forecast area tightens and as a result,
breezy conditions are expected Friday through Sunday. Wind gusts
each afternoon of the short term period are forecast to gust up to
25-35 mph, just below wind advisory criteria. The good news, is
that the systems to our west will eject northeastward as an upper
level ridge amplifies across the Southeast. This keeps dry weather
through the weekend, but it will feel hot and humid at times.
Southeasterly flow will warm afternoon temperatures into the lower
80s each day with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Another mid/upper-level trough will sweep NE from the Southern
Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region Sunday
night into Monday. In response, a surface cold front will push
eastward across the lower-Mississippi Valley and Mid South during
the day on Monday. The latest guidance continues to trend a little
later with this feature, meaning that most likely Monday will be
another warm/dry day. However, by Monday night into Tuesday,
medium chances (40-60%) for showers/storms are forecast along and
just ahead of this cold front as it pushes into the area. Not
expecting much in the way of an air mass change behind the front,
however, as highs will only dip back a few degrees on Tuesday. We
may begin to enter a more unsettled pattern by mid/late week as
another front may attempt to push in sometime late Wednesday of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1056 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

VFR flight conditions should prevail for most areas. A band of -SHRA
may move west to east across north AL and southern middle TN this
evening (~23Z-07Z), with ceilings of 040-060agl. Light northeast
to east flow will become southeast at 8-10kt Friday morning by
14Z.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...GH
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...17