Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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000
FXUS64 KHUN 262010
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
310 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A NICE BUT MUGGY AFTERNOON UNDERWAY ACROSS THE CNTRL TN VALLEY THIS
SAT AFTERNOON...WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CNTRL GULF IN
CONTROL OF THE OVERALL WX PATTERN. STRONG UPPER RIDGING ALSO REMAINS
IN PLACE OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS STATES...HELPING TO AID THE
GRADUAL WARMING TREND ACROSS THE REGION. THE QUIET WX PATTERN SHOULD
CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER NIGHT...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS TRENDING A
FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN THE PAST FEW MORNINGS. WITH SFC/LOW LEVEL
FLOW BECOMING MORE ENTRENCHED OUT OF THE W/SW GOING INTO SUN...TEMPS
STILL LOOK TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE MID 90S RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON
HRS...RESULTING IN HEAT INDICES IN THE 100-105F DEGREE RANGE.

SOME RELIEF FROM THE HOT/MUGGY CONDITIONS THOUGH WILL BE APPROACHING
LATE SUN AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUING
TO HINT AT A COLD FRONT OUT OF THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGIONS MOVING
INTO THE REGION. MOISTURE RETURN ALONG/AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
FRONT STILL DOES NOT LOOK THAT IMPRESSIVE...BUT MAY YET RESULT IN
LOW CHC/SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS DEVELOPING WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. WHILE
THE BETTER MID/UPPER FORCING LOOKS TO SHIFT WELL N OF THE AREA INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...AMPLE LATENT HEATING COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENT WINDS MAY TRANSLATE INTO A FEW STRONG/MARGINALLY
SVR TSTMS SUN EVENING...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING BRIEF DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. ANY LINGERING PRECIP SHOULD THEN QUICKLY TAPER OFF MON
MORNING WITH THE FRONT EXITING TO THE S.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF QUIET WX AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ARE THEN
XPCTED STARTING LATE MON...AS ANOTHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS TAKES AIM AT THE SE STATES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN
LOOKS TO WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH THE LATTER
HALF OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGESTING PERHAPS AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH
MOVING WWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF REGION. UPPER TROUGH ALSO LOOKS TO
DEEPEN GOING INTO THE WEEKEND PERIOD...WITH ISO/SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST STARTING FRI.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1219 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/
FOR 18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD FOR HSV AND MSL.

TT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
HUNTSVILLE    73  96  72  89 /   0  10  30  20
SHOALS        72  97  73  90 /   0  10  30  20
VINEMONT      71  95  72  87 /   0  10  30  20
FAYETTEVILLE  71  93  71  87 /   0  20  30  20
ALBERTVILLE   70  95  72  89 /   0  10  30  20
FORT PAYNE    69  95  72  88 /   0  10  30  20

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.


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