Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

425
FXUS64 KJAN 022028
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
328 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN MORE POST-FRONTAL/STRATIFORM
AND SLOW TO DEVELOP TODAY WITH THE LACK OF INSOLATION. HOWEVER...A
FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MANAGED TO DEVELOP IN THE MID 70
WARMTH OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS OVER THE
EAST. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO AL BEFORE BECOMING TOO ROBUST
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. STRATIFORM ACTIVITY THAT IS LEFT WILL LINGER
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN THE EAST.

GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW MID LEVEL SW FLOW AS THE RESPONSIBLE PARTY FOR
THE PERSISTENT WET WEATHER...BUT VEERING OF THE FLOW JUST A FEW
DEGREES WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO GIVE FRONT AND WET WEATHER THE PUSH
NEEDED TO FINALLY EXIT THE AREA. EXPECT COOLER AIR TO GRADUALLY PUSH
INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AS ONLY LIGHT POST FRONTAL SHOWERS
CONTINUE. CLOUDS LOOK TO LINGER OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT CLEAR DURING
THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. THE BETTER MID LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ALLOWING THE COOLEST AIR TO POUR INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/THURSDAY.

GOOD RAD COOLING CONDITIONS LOOK TO SET UP FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
MORNINGS AS THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER SETTLES OVER THE AREA LEADING TO
CALM OVERNIGHT WINDS WITH CLEAR SKIES. SOME 40S LOOK POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTH AND EAST EACH OF THOSE MORNINGS...WHILE MOST EVERYONE ELSE
WILL SETTLE IN THE 50S./26/


&&

.AVIATION...AS THE BOUNDARY SHIFTS EAST...IFR CIGS ARE
DEVELOPING IN THE COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT. ALONG/AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...SHRA AND A FEW TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED AND ARE RESULTING IN
OCNL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS. LOWER CIGS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY OVER EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT...BUT EXPECT THE STRATUS
WILL MOVE OUT FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AT
ALL LOCATIONS AS MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES IN AND BRINGS VFR CONDITIONS
TO THE ENTIRE AREA. /EC/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       60  76  53  77 /  42  10   4   3
MERIDIAN      62  77  53  76 /  64  21  11   3
VICKSBURG     58  75  51  77 /  29  10   5   2
HATTIESBURG   64  78  57  78 /  52  25   3   4
NATCHEZ       61  76  54  77 /  27  12   4   3
GREENVILLE    56  73  53  77 /  15   7   7   3
GREENWOOD     56  74  51  75 /  23   8   6   4

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.