Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 250444
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1144 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.AVIATION...All inland convection has now ended with radar showing
no more than a few showers over the gulf waters. VFR to prevail
through this TAF package at all terminals with the exception of
some visibility restrictions from late night fog. Maintaining VCTS
for Monday afternoon and early evening for isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1008 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers pushing WWD from Calcasieu Parish TWD the Sabine
River should dissipate over the next hour or so. Second night in a
row an isolated cluster of convection has continued well after
dark. Other isolated showers are tracking west over the coastal
waters, and this type of isolated activity is likely to continue
here the rest of the night. This is already reflected in the
forecast. Thus, the only change of note this evening was to bump
up forecast lows a bit based on observational trends and latest
guidance.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 703 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017/

AVIATION...Showers and a few thunderstorms rapidly dissipating
with cooling. VFR expected through the this TAF package. Should
see isolated convection return Monday afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 358 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Temperatures recovered from the upper 60s to near 70 this morning
under the influence of high pressure at surface and aloft. A few
storms around the area this afternoon will dissipate quickly
towards sunset with skies clearing.

A few more storms on tap for tomorrow into Tuesday as an inverted
trof to our east moves slowly acrs the northern gulf under the
backside of the exiting area of high pressure. Towards the middle
of the week an upper left trof with a cool front will approach
the area from the northwest with a frontal passage on Thursday.
Storms will diminish behind the front but a stronger and much
cooler air moves through on Saturday bringing afternoon temps into
the 80s on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  69  90  69  91 /  10  20  10  20
LCH  72  89  73  90 /  10  30  10  30
LFT  71  90  73  90 /  10  40  10  30
BPT  74  90  73  89 /  10  30  10  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION...23



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