Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 011104
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
604 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2014

.AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE. WITH AN EXTREMELY
DRY AIRMASS ENTRENCHED OVER THE AREA...ANTICIPATING ANOTHER DAY
ABSENT OF CLOUDS. VFR CONTINUES. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN N-NE
AT AROUND 10 KNOTS AT ALL TERMINALS...BECOMING LIGHT AND POSSIBLY
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.

&&

MARCOTTE


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 432 AM CDT SAT NOV 1 2014/

DISCUSSION...
TEMPS AROUND THE REGION THIS MORNING RANGING FROM THE MID 40S
INLAND TO THE LOWER 50S AT THE COAST. DEW POINTS ARE SHOWING THE
NEXT SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR SOUTH OF AEX DRIVING TOWARDS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS ATTM. TODAY...WINDS ALONG AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL
BE BRISK.

THIS IS THE FIRST...BUT NOT THE LAST TRUE ARCTIC AIR MASS THAT
WILL MAKE IT`S WAY INTO OUR REGION THIS FALL. UNDER SUNNY SKIES
TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 DEGREES ACROSS CNTRL LA AND THE
LAKES REGION IN SE TX...LWR 60S ELSEWHERE. THAT WILL BE ABOUT A
15 DEGREE DROP FROM YESTERDAY WHICH SAW MID TO UPPER 70S. IF YOU
ARE GOING OUT TODAY A GOOD WARM COAT WILL BE NEEDED.

HIGH PRESSURE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. TEMPS TO RECOVER INTO THE MID 60S...ONE OF
THE NICE THINGS ABOUT LIVING IN THIS REGION. THE GRADUAL WARMING
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK WITH SHOWERS RETURNING
LATE TUESDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM FROM THE PACIFIC WILL DRAG
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION AS SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DRAG LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE OUT OF THE GULF... COMBINING THIS WITH APPROACH OF
ANOTHER COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY AND STORMS WILL
DEVELOP. THE LAST TRUE RAINFALL WAS THE MIDDLE OF LAST MONTH SO
ANY RAINS WILL HELP KEEP THE REGION FROM DRYING OUT. RAIN CHANCES
CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  62  37  66  49  75 /   0   0   0   0  10
KBPT  64  41  67  55  77 /   0   0   0   0  10
KAEX  59  34  64  42  73 /   0   0   0   0  10
KLFT  60  36  67  47  75 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH
     ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
     TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
     THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL
     WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL
     CITY LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
     CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION
     BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON
     THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL
     WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$







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