000
FXUS64 KLCH 062223
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
423 PM CST FRI DEC 6 2013

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT HAS CONTINUED TO SLOWLY OOZE TO THE EAST THIS
AFTERNOON...AND HAS NOW CLEARED ALL BUT THE SE PART OF THE FAR SE
MARINE ZONE. CLOUDY AND COLD CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED IN THE POST
FRONTAL AIRMASS...WITH PATCHES OF MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAINFALL. TRENDS IN GUIDANCE TODAY CONTINUED TO POINT TOWARD AN
ACCELERATED ENDING OF RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHERN/WESTERN PARTS OF
THE AREA TONIGHT...THOSE THAT LOOKED TO BE VULNERABLE TO LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. THAT MAY STILL OCCUR FOR A BRIEF PERIOD LATE
TONIGHT IF FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND RAIN OVERLAP...BUT IT IS
LOOKING LESS LIKELY THAT WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT DURATION OF TIME.

COLD AND CLOUDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS THE REGION REMAINS EAST OF A LONGWAVE TROF AXIS OVER THE WRN
CONUS. THE ACTIVE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL YIELD PERIODS OF
ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES...WHILE ALSO MAINTAINING A HEALTHY DEGREE
OF CLOUD COVER AND INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
TEMPERATURES. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF NIGHTS...TOMORROW NIGHT AND
MONDAY NIGHT TO BE SPECIFIC...WHERE SIMILAR BORDERLINE FREEZING
RAIN/DRIZZLE EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE...THOUGH AGAIN NONE LOOK
SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS.

DRIER AIR AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE PROGGED TO FINALLY ARRIVE BY
MID TO LATE WEEK...BUT THE REPRIEVE LOOKS SHORT LIVED AS A PACIFIC
STORM SYSTEM TAKES AIM AT THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

13

&&

.MARINE...
STRONG NORTH TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS AND
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO START SUBSIDING TOMORROW...BUT ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY AS A SECONDARY SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVES
INTO THE REGION. THE MODIFICATIONS TO THE MARINE HAZARDS MADE
EARLIER TODAY STILL LOOK ON TARGET...THOUGH THE DURATION INTO
SATURDAY EVENING MAY BE A LITTLE PESSIMISTIC.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  35  43  37  49 /  20  30  40  50
KBPT  35  44  37  48 /  10  30  40  50
KAEX  30  41  33  44 /  20  40  50  50
KLFT  34  44  38  51 /  20  30  40  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA
     OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM
     20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     CALCASIEU LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.


&&

$$