Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 222341
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
541 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR Conditions will continue at all terminals for the next 24
hours. Northwest breezes will diminish through the evening, with
light winds expected for Tuesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 259 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The pattern will be mostly quiet for the next week as mostly zonal
flow dominates the upper levels by mid week. The upper low that
brought the wonderful dust and wind yesterday is currently making
its way to the Midwest. This leaves the FA under northwesterly flow
both aloft and at the surface. This will keep highs in the upper 40s
to upper 50s today. A weak shortwave will be just to our west
tomorrow but will not cause any issues as the upper flow is weak and
a shortwave ridge will overtake the low by the time it moves over
the FA by Wednesday. A weakness is forecasted by the models to
develop in the ridge over southern NM by early Thursday which will
move fairly quickly across the FA. This will allow winds to be
slightly on the breezy side Thursday. Models begin to diverge on the
forecast for Friday and beyond. The GFS pushes a weak backdoor front
into the FA Friday but has surface flow quickly rebounding allowing
the front to have little impact on temperatures. The ECMWF brings a
stronger front into the FA late Friday into early Saturday as an
amplifying trough digs southeastward across the CONUS. For now the
temps will be kept as a blend showing slightly cooler temps going
into the weekend.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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