Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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959
ACUS11 KWNS 240809
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240808
KSZ000-240915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AND N-CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202...

VALID 240808Z - 240915Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A MARGINALLY SEVERE-HAIL THREAT WILL TEND TO FOCUS ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OVER N-CNTRL
AND NWRN KS.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A WEST-EAST ORIENTED CLUSTER OF
STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE
STRONGER CORES.  THE TERMINUS OF A STRONG SOUTHERLY LLJ IS FOCUSED
OVER NRN PORTIONS OF KS AND THIS FEATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
POLEWARD FLUX OF ADEQUATELY RICH MOISTURE.  MODERATE ELEVATED
BUOYANCY /MUCAPE 1000-2000 J PER KG/ AMIDST EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40
KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS /MIX OF STRONG MULTICELLS AND
SHORT-LIVES SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL RISK FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..SMITH.. 05/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38950101 39820039 39559672 39079693 38950101




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