Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 111838
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111837
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-112030-
Mesoscale Discussion 0751
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024
Areas affected...Portions of upper Ohio Valley
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 111837Z - 112030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated small to marginally severe hail and damaging
winds are possible with the strongest storms in the upper Ohio
Valley. A watch is not expected this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...In the wake of morning showers, temperatures have
recovered into the mid/upper 50s F in eastern Ohio into northern
West Virginia. Convection is developing along the cold front with
aid from the compact shortwave trough moving through the lower Great
Lakes region. Buoyancy will be limited, particularly near the
Ohio/Pennsylvania border where stable outflow is apparent on visible
satellite. An area of broader clearing near the southeast Ohio/West
Virginia border should provide the greatest potential for storms to
deepen sufficiently to produce marginally severe hail and isolated
damaging wind gusts.
..Wendt/Thompson.. 05/11/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...
LAT...LON 39218238 39888202 40348181 41128158 41468134 41458065
41237987 40847964 39987990 39428046 38988106 38918172
39218238