Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 230955
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
500 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to continue. A cold front will move from north to
south across Oklahoma into north Texas today. Gusty north winds will
occur after the frontal passage, but are expected to diminish around
00Z. Only a few high clouds expected through the forecast period.

30

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 AM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017/

.DISCUSSION...
Main concerns will revolve around a couple of cold fronts that
will make their way south across the Plains this week and possible
freeze next weekend.

The first of these fronts will make its way south across the area
later today. This front will bring in drier and cooler air, but
is not expected to produce any precipitation. Gusty north winds
will also accompany the front. As the eastern trough deepens
tonight into Tuesday surface winds will likely strengthen as well
and remain rather gusty throughout the day tomorrow.

By Wednesday, surface high will settle south of the area with a
westerly downslope wind. This will allow a quick warm-up that will
continue into early Thursday before another, stronger front surges
south. This front may actually result in falling temps across
parts of the area Thursday afternoon with gusty north winds.
Temperatures by Friday morning will drop into the 30s and 40s with
gusty north winds adding a bit of a wind chill. Temperatures are
not expected to climb out of the 50s Friday.

Although very dry air will be in place, will maintain some low
pops across portions of southern Oklahoma mainly for consistency
sake. Latest ECMWF cont to try and wring out some light rain as it
taps into some slightly better moisture in the region.

Surface high settles south over the area Friday night/Saturday
morning. With surface dewpoints in the teens and 20s, could see a
freeze across parts of Oklahoma. Best chance right now appears to
be across the northern half of Oklahoma.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  72  44  63  39 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         74  43  65  39 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  77  47  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           71  40  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     71  43  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         78  48  67  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30



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