Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 250822
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
322 AM CDT FRI JUL 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

NOT A WHOLE LOT OF CHANGES MADE THIS MORNING FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECASTS. EVERYTHING STILL APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK FOR A WARMER
WEEKEND AND A COOLER WORK WEEK COMING UP.

FOR TODAY...A STALLED BOUNDARY OVER THE HEART OF THE STATE IS
ALLOWING FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
THE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE SCATTERED OFF AND ON THROUGH
THE DAY IS THOSE LOCATIONS. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AS WELL THIS
MORNING. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES FROM 87 TO 91.

FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WESTERN UPPER RIDGE WILL NOSE INTO THE
DEEP SOUTH SUPPRESSING ANY RAINFALL TO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
LOCATIONS OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WARM UP INTO THE LOWER AND MID
90S. WARM NIGHTS TOO WITH LOWS ONLY FALLING TO THE LOWER AND MID
70S.

A COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THE STATE ON MONDAY
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AS IT DOES SO.
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT STILL LOOK BELOW AVERAGE WITH HIGHS
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY RANGING FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 80S.
ASSUMING THE FRONT GETS PUSHED ALL THE WAY INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF...RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEK ARE PRETTY MUCH NIL. THERE MIGHT BE
SOME EASTERLY FLOW SET UP TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
THAT COULD BRING IN A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN ALABAMA.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

QUITE THE CHALLENGING AVIATION FORECAST TONIGHT...WITH THE SURFACE
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE
THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM 08 TO 12Z FRIDAY MORNING. MVFR TO IFR CIGS
AND VIS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE TYPICAL FOGGY LOCATIONS OF KEET
...KTOI...AND KANB. NOT AS CONFIDENT FOR FOG OR LOW CLOUDS
ELSEWHERE BUT MOISTURE VALUES WILL REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH AT THE
SURFACE TO WARRANT AT LEAST TEMPO MVFR EXCEPT FOR KBHM. NORTHERN
TAF SITES WILL QUICKLY MIX OUT ANY LOW CLOUDS OR FOG AFTER SUNRISE
FRIDAY MORNING...WHILE VCSH IS STILL WARRANTED FOR KMGM AND KTOI
NEAR THE SURFACE FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT PREVAILING WINDS FROM THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST.

56/GDG


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     88  69  92  72  91 /  10   0  10  10  10
ANNISTON    89  70  92  73  92 /  10   0  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  89  71  92  74  93 /  10   0  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  91  71  94  73  92 /  10   0  10  10  10
CALERA      89  71  92  74  93 /  10   0  10  10  10
AUBURN      88  72  92  73  92 /  40  10  10  10  20
MONTGOMERY  91  72  93  74  93 /  40  10  10  10  20
TROY        89  72  92  73  93 /  40  20  20  10  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








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