Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 071044

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
444 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 324 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Radar continues to show some weak returns moving into the west or
southwest portion of the forecast area, but so far, there have not
been any snow in observations. Regional radar has some stronger
returns to the west of the forecast area moving toward the area. A
surface high is still over the northern part of the forecast area
this morning.

An upper level wave is moving into the forecast area early this
morning and will push through the area during the day. The surface
high will remain across the forecast area. Expect that the
precipitation will move into the area through day break. The
temperatures will be cold enough that snow is expected. The best
chance for snow will be across north central Kansas and the far
southern part of Nebraska. Further to the north, expect less chance
and the lesser amounts. At this time, snowfall amounts in north
central Kansas should be in the 1 to 2 inch range. By noon today,
the snow will start to move out of the area. There could be a little
into the middle part of the afternoon, but should be all gone by

Clouds will start to clear out from the north to the south. With the
surface high across the area winds will not be very strong and
temperatures will drop into the single digits for lows. Wind chill
values will drop to below zero across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 324 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Bitterly cold temperatures are forecast to start the extended
periods...with temperatures moderating a bit this weekend...only to
turn colder again next week. Once this mornings system departs the
region...expect prevailing dry conditions for the next
week...albeit there will be a couple of small chances for light snow
from time to time. west to northwestelry flow will persist
through the upcoming weekend and into at least the middle of next
week...with multiple...primarily moisture starved...disturbances
brushing the local area. The first of these disturbances is expected
to impact the central plains on Saturday...with some very small
chances for light rain or snow possible Saturday afternoon through
the evening hours. While there is a very small chance of
precipitation with this system...the bigger impact will likely be
the associated cold front which will drop temperatures back well
below normals to start the next week...after one more day of near
normals temperatures expected Saturday afternoon.

Thereafter...the next disturbance will reach the local area late
Monday into Tuesday...bringing yet another chance for some very
spotty and light precipitation. While not overly promising for
precipitation...this next disturbance will be accompanied by a
reinforcing shot of cold air...which will keep temperatures 10 to 15
degrees below normal through the end of the extended periods.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1116 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

Clouds should gradually lower through the night and into
Wednesday. There is a chance for snow and the best chance will be
at the KEAR terminal. There could be some at KGRI, but the chances
are lower. By afternoon, the snow should be gone and clouds will
start to lift and decrease in coverage.




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