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000
FXUS63 KGID 192042
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
342 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Freeze Warning for temperatures at or below freezing is in
  effect tonight into Saturday morning for portions of south central
  Nebraska.

- Temperatures near or below freezing are possible (70% chance)
  for much of the forecast area again Saturday night into Sunday
  morning.

- Thunderstorms are possible (about a 40% chance) Monday night
  and again Wednesday night through Thursday night. The storms
  on Thursday will need to be monitored for severe potential.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 339 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Today through Saturday night...

An upper low is centered over Canada and extends south and southwest
over the Central Plains. A northerly wind shift/cold front
associated with the upper low is pushing south through south central
Nebraska and into north central Kansas. High temperatures today will
be in the 50s to lower 60s with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies. A
surface high will be across the area tonight with mostly northerly
winds. Low temperatures will drop into the mid 20s to lower 40s.
Temperatures are expected to drop to freezing or below across all
but the far southern row of counties in south central Nebraska so a
Freeze Warning has been issued for tonight into Saturday morning.
Please see the Freeze Warning product for more information. The
surface high remains across the area on Saturday with mostly
northerly winds. This will result in high temperatures ranging from
the mid 40s to mid 50s under mostly cloudy skies. The surface high
will continue to impact the area Saturday night with winds becoming
more light and variable. These conditions may result in temperatures
dropping into the upper 20s to mid 30s. Frost and freeze headlines
may be needed for Saturday night into Sunday morning. Low
temperatures will be impacted by cloud cover across portions of the
area.

Sunday through Monday night...

Southwest winds are expected on Sunday as a shortwave moves to the
southeast of the area. Temperatures on Sunday will begin to warm up
from the previous day with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Winds
will strengthen out of the south Sunday night as a surface low
develops and moves over parts of Nebraska and Kansas. This will
result in low temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s Sunday
night. An upper low/trough will begin moving over the northern and
central Plains on Monday with a cold front beginning to move into
south central and central Nebraska. Temperatures ahead of the front
on Monday are expected to warm up into mostly the 70s. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible (up to a 45% chance) along the front
Monday evening mainly impacting north central Kansas. Low
temperatures are expected to mainly be in the 40s Monday night.

Tuesday through Wednesday night...

The cooler temperatures with highs in the 60s to lower 70s will
begin to impact the area on Tuesday as a surface high and northerly
winds will be across the area. Winds will shift towards the east
Tuesday night as the surface high moves to the east of the area. Low
temperatures Tuesday night will cool into the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Upper ridging will be present across the central part of the country
on Wednesday with a tightening surface pressure gradient across
western Kansas and Nebraska and parts of central Nebraska. Surface
winds will be out of the southeast on Wednesday with temperatures
similar to the previous day. Low temperatures Wednesday night will
mostly be in the 40s as winds stay elevated through the night.

Wednesday night through Thursday night...

Rain and thunderstorm chances (up to around 40%) will increase
Wednesday night into Thursday morning as an upper trough begins to
move over the Four Corners region. The upper trough will begin
moving over the Central Plains on Thursday resulting in continued
rain and storm chances (up to around 50%). High temperatures on
Thursday are expected to be a little warmer than the previous day.
Rain and storm chances (up to near 70%) will continue through
Thursday night as the upper low continues to move over the Central
Plains. Low temperatures Thursday night are expected to be in the
mid 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds are
expected to be fairly light ranging from the northwest to
northeast.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for
     NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt