Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 101059 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
459 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. TAFS OUT
SHORTLY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST TODAY. SURFACE FLOW WILL
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY.

HUMIDITY...WHILE REMAINING LOW...WILL BE HIGHER THAN TUESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITH LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT AND A FEW PASSING
CLOUDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ROCKIES TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM
PERIOD WITH A STRONG UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA. THE
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES
INTO THE PLAINS. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. ZONAL FLOW WILL BE SEEN OVER THE AREA SUNDAY
BRIEFLY...THEN NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS MONDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THIS HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS TEXAS AND THEN LOUISIANA MONDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING A
COLD FRONT WITH IT BUT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF ARKANSAS. A SHORT WAVE
WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL BRING
CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH...AND JUST LIGHT RAIN IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETURN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL VARY THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT THE COLDEST DAYS WILL
BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.

FIRE WEATHER...
MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30TH PERCENTILE TODAY...
WITH FIRE DANGER REMAINING ELEVATED. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE
NEARLY AS STRONG TODAY...WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS BELOW RED FLAG
CRITERIA.

SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE COURSE OF
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE NEXT APPRECIABLE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AS A
STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57


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