Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 231210 AAA
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
710 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 710 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

EXPANDED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY A BIT ON THE EASTERN EDGE AND
EXTENDED IT AN HOUR LONGER...UNTIL 10 AM. OTHER MINOR CHANGES
TO SKY COVER FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH
AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z.

OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE
FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING
ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER
THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO
BECOMES ZONAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL LINGER FOR A WHILE THIS MORNING
THEN EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS LATER THIS MORNING AND THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT LOW CLOUDS AND/OR
FOG MAY MOVE BACK IN TONIGHT...BUT DID NOT FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH
TO GO WITH ANYTHING AT THIS POINT. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE LOOKED AT
CLOSER WITH THE 18Z TAFS.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ011-012-
     015>018-030>033-042>044-050-065-078-088.

IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MILLER
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...MILLER



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