Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 311926
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
226 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A weak surface boundary across the Red River in Texas combined
with southwest flow aloft and small perturbations in the upper-
flow allowing for scattered showers and thunderstorms across North
Texas and Southeast Oklahoma this afternoon. Convection to persist
through the early to mid-evening hours. Decent instability aloft
along frontal boundary, combined with sufficient low-level
moisture, will support a chance for some severe thunderstorms with
hail and damaging winds the main threat.

Rain chances to steadily increase through the end of the workweek
as a longwave trough across the desert southwest begins to shift
east. Showers and thunderstorms to mainly develop along the
dryline across central Texas each afternoon before drifting east
into mainly East Texas...Southeast Oklahoma...and Southwest
Arkansas.

By Friday into the weekend the upper-low translates east across
the Arklatex with widespread showers and thunderstorms expected
areawide.

Rainfall totals are forecast to average around 3 inches across
East Texas into Southeast Oklahoma, with lesser amounts to the
east through the forecast period.

Conditions to gradually improve from the northwest on Sunday as
frontal boundary shifts southeast across the region and upper-
level ridge begins to rebuild areawide.

Otherwise, temperatures to range from highs in the 80s to lows in
the upper 60s to lower 70s each day. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  68  86  69  83 /  30  50  50  60
MLU  69  87  70  86 /  20  20  30  30
DEQ  66  82  67  79 /  50  60  70  80
TXK  68  84  67  81 /  40  60  70  70
ELD  68  86  68  83 /  30  50  50  60
TYR  69  83  69  81 /  40  60  70  70
GGG  68  84  68  81 /  30  60  60  70
LFK  69  86  69  82 /  20  50  50  70

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05


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