Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 290401

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
901 PM MST Wed Jun 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions will continue for the remainder of the
week, although wind speeds will decrease. Gusty southwest winds
will return on Saturday and Sunday.


Smoke from area wildfires will continue across portions of
northern AZ tonight. Otherwise, clear skies with lighter winds
are expected through Thursday morning.


.PREV DISCUSSION /325 PM MST/...Less wind and dry conditions will
continue through the rest of the week. Winds will weaken and may
become northwesterly on Friday. Another weak area of low pressure
will form over the southern Great Basin this weekend with breezy
southwest winds Saturday and Sunday.

This airmass is very dry and stable, chances for precipitation
will remain near zero for much of the seven day period. Models
still indicate a monsoonal circulation potentially developing
after July 4th or 5th.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Light and variable winds
expected through the overnight hours. SW wind 10-15 kt with
gusts 20-25 kt after 18Z Thursday. Smoke from area wildfires may
affect flight paths, otherwise clear skies. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Winds will lessen in intensity on Thursday and
Friday to below critical fire thresholds. Temperatures will remain
slightly above normal. No precipitation is expected over the next
few days.

Saturday through Monday...Thunderstorm chances will remain low
with only a slight chance in the White Mountains on Monday. Winds
speeds will slightly increase over the weekend and early next
week but remain below critical fire thresholds. Temperatures will
be slightly above normal through this period.






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