Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 022211
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
311 PM PDT MON MAY 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA
TODAY...OTHERWISE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRIER WEATHER AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR
THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK TROUGH NEAR KERN COUNTY IS KICKING OFF A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS
THE KERN AND TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...OTW JUST SOME CU ACROSS THE
SIERRA AND EVERY WARM TEMPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE INTERIOR CENCAL
AREA.

GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTING EAST
OVER US TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AND TEMPS
WELL ABOVE NORMAL. DIGGING UPPER LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLIDE
SOUTH ALONG THE COAST FROM THE GULF AF AK WED AND MOVE INLAND
INTO NRN CA BY FRIDAY. WE WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
INCREASING ON WED ACROSS YOSEMITE. AS THE LOW CENTER PASSES BY ON
THURSDAY WE ARE EXPECTING MORE COVERAGE OF SHRA AND TSRA OVER
CENTRAL CA. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
BEST INSTABILITY AND LIFTING MECHANISMS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH A
100+ KNOT JET MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.

THE LOW CENTER IS PROGGED TO MOVE INLAND ON FRIDAY INTO SRN CA
WITH CONTINUED WRAP AROUND MOISTURE IMPACTING THE REGION WITH
CONTINUED CHANCES OF SHRA AND TSRA. THE LOW WILL BE VERY SLOW TO
MOVE EAST AS AN OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN WILL SET UP ACROSS THE US. THE
LOW MOVES INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA BEFORE FILLING AND WEAKENING
ON SUNDAY AND MOVING EAST ON MONDAY. RIDGING RETURNS ON MONDAY OF
NEXT WEEK WITH RETURN OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR WITH LOCAL IFR POSSIBLE 18Z MONDAY THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY
DUE TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SIERRA
NEVADA. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AN/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/FW...JDB
AVN...ROWE
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD


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