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000
FXUS62 KJAX 240045
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
845 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH...AND WILL END ACROSS ALL LAND AREAS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
A WEAK IMPULSE WILL CLIP THE AREA TNGT...HOWEVER WITH SIGNIFICANT MID
LEVEL DRYING...DO NOT EXPECT ADDITIONAL PRECIP. WITH LOW LEVELS DRYING
OUT SLIGHTLY...AND WITH SOME WIND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...DO NOT EXPECT
SIGNIFICANT FOG DEVELOPMENT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE
LOWER/MID 60S INLAND...TO THE UPPER 60S/AROUND 70 COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST 08Z. PERIODS OF MVFR
VISIBILITIES ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 08-12Z AT GNV. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL REGION-WIDE AFTER 12Z. LIGHT WESTERLY
SURFACE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE TO
10-15 KT AFTER 13Z...WITH SURFACE GUSTS NEAR 20 KT EXPECTED AFTER
17Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL TREND TOWARDS A NORTHERLY DIRECTION WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN SPEEDS AFTER 22Z.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN UNDER SCEC THROUGH FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES/CROSSES THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...NE WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO SCA OFFSHORE...APPROACHING SCA NEARSHORE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH FRIDAY. MODERATE RISK SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WITH ONSHORE FLOW.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE INLAND. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH HAS PROMPTED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SUWANNEE VALLEY FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH DISPERSIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY DUE TO MIXING...STRONG TRANSPORT
WINDS...AND WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 20
MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL DECREASE TO
LESS THAN 15 MPH ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT
WILL BE 15 TO 20 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE COAST ON SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  63  87  53  84 /  10   0   0   0
SSI  70  86  62  76 /  10   0   0   0
JAX  68  89  58  80 /  10   0   0   0
SGJ  69  88  66  77 /  10  10   0   0
GNV  65  90  58  84 /  10  10   0   0
OCF  67  91  61  85 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
     FOR BAKER-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/NELSON/WALKER