Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 300907
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
507 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED OVERNIGHT WITH NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION ALONG
THE KEYS. EARLIER THIS MORNING...OUTFLOWS FROM THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHEAST
OF THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS...BEYOND THE FLORIDA STRAITS...ROLLED
NORTHWEST CAUSING VERY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS AT SOME MARINE
LOCATIONS. AS OF 400 AM...TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED NEAR 84F DEGREES
ALONG THE KEYS.

.FORECAST...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE ATLANTIC TOWARDS
THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR AREA TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO
SHIFT NORTHWARD TOMORROW. GFS AND EUROPEAN MODELS SHOW THAT THIS RIDGE
WILL STAY IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...KEEPING
A RATHER SIMILAR PATTERN. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 90S
ONCE AGAIN TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS. PWAT VALUES WILL HOLD AT AN
INCH AND A HALF THIS WEEK. THEN ON FRIDAY...MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
REACH THE KEYS...AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY...DECREASING
ON SUNDAY. THIS COMBINE WITH INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.


&&

.MARINE...THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWARD WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PERIODS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE OUTER FLORIDA STRAITS WATERS ON WEDNESDAY...WHICH
WILL REQUIRED FOR SMALL CRAFT TO EXERCISE CAUTION.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON
TERMINALS TODAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE EAST AT AROUND 5 TO 10
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON...REMAINING SO THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLIMATE...ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 2010...KEY WEST
EXPERIENCED ITS WARMEST JUNE EVER WITH AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 85.9F.
TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE.........KN
AVIATION/NOWCASTS.....FLING

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