Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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000
FXUS65 KTFX 062132
AFDTFX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
232 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SHORT WAVE THAT MOVED THROUGH
EARLIER. WINDS WILL CONTINUE VERY GUSTY INTO THE EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES. LINGERING
INSTABILITY SHOWERS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY END BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WEST COAST SUNDAY AND THEN EXPANDS INLAND
MONDAY, THUS BEGINNING A PERIOD OF DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES TO START THE WEEK. MONDAY`S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE IN SOME AREAS.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT
DRY CONDITIONS...MILD TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT/BREEZY WINDS TO PREVAIL
OVER THE REGION THROUGH THIS PERIOD. ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY...THE GFS/EC ARE SIMILAR BUT THE EC IS A BIT WETTER THAN
THE GFS. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH MAINLY THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS THE REGION. THUS THEY HAVE A SMALL CHANCE FOR
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE REGION. OVERALL THE CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE ON
THE LOW SIDE LATE NEXT WEEK...AND TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WILL COOL A BIT FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD
STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. BRUSDA

&&

.AVIATION...
UPDATED 1750Z.
STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND A COLD FRONT THAT ARE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA.
ISOLATED RAIN AND/OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO OCCURRING BEHIND THE
FRONT. WINDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL DECREASE AFTER 00Z. VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF
SHOWERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  27  43  30  56 /   0   0   0   0
CTB  26  41  28  52 /  10   0   0   0
HLN  24  40  26  46 /  10   0   0   0
BZN  16  35  18  39 /  10   0   0   0
WEY  12  29  12  33 /  30   0   0   0
DLN  19  36  23  42 /  10   0   0   0
HVR  26  42  22  49 /  10   0   0   0
LWT  22  35  23  47 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR MTZ009>015-
044>055.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS



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