Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 280438
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
938 PM MST FRI MAY 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Just enough moisture will linger through early next
week for very slight chances of showers and thunderstorms each
day. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in store starting today
and continuing into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Convective activity and cloud cover is currently
decreasing across northern Arizona. The current forecast captures
these trends and no updates are anticipated at this time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /320 PM MST/... Convective development this
afternoon looks like it has generally been limited to high-based
virga showers with very little precipitation reaching the ground.
This also appears to be the most probable scenario over the coming
days, with generally dry conditions for most areas, but isolated
and mostly light showers possible. Maximum temps trended upwards
today and will climb additionally this weekend, becoming near
normal. High pressure looks to strengthen by the middle of next
week with the potential for daytime temps to warm up even further.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 06Z Package...Expect VFR conditions for the
next 24 hours. High based SHRA and TSRA are possible north of
Interstate 40 from 18z-01z. Erratic winds with gusts as high as
40 knots in the vicinity of SHRA/TSRA are possible for lower
elevations...especially within the Little Colorado River Valley
near Winslow. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Isolated showers and thunderstorms Saturday
afternoon from Flagstaff northward to the Kaibab Plateau. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon across the
higher elevations north of a Grand Canyon to Window Rock line.
Erratic and gusty winds possible near storms.

Monday through Wednesday...Only isolated showers and thunderstorms
are expected with relatively light winds into the middle of next
week.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...RR/KD
AVIATION...RR
FIRE WEATHER...Mottice


For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff



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