Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 071123
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
523 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Broad upper trough will dominate as we go through the remainder
of the work week and into the weekend. Surface wave down along
Gulf Coast will try and wave up tonight in response to short wave
energy racing through upper trough but don`t think it will be
enough to crank up precip this far north but there is enough
vorticity rounding base of upper trough tonight in tight
geostropic flow to warrant at least a mention of a 15 percent pop
for a sprinkle or flurry or two in the overnight. Have continued
to whittle this down last couple of nights as moisture remains
depleted and we may end up with nothing but clouds with nothing
hitting the ground. 1040+ surface high centered over the high
plains will ridge in across the area today with northerly flow.
Another frontal system will move in on Sunday bringing a good
chance for rain Sunday into Monday. Another front will move down
and bring a rain chance Tuesday night into Wednesday. Fronts will
act to hold temps down over next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Low clouds have eroded somewhat across northern Middle Tennessee
with SKC at CKV which has allowed some patchy fog with MVFR/IFR
visibility to develop. Fog expected to dissipate by 14Z. Still
broken/overcast MVFR cigs at BNA/CSV but anticipate VFR conditions
by 15-18Z at BNA/CSV. Light north winds anticipated through the
TAF period.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......01/Boyd
AVIATION........Shamburger



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