Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 231502
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1002 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Latest radar imagery shows showers continue across eastern zones
this morning in association with a shortwave moving through the
Gulf Coast states. 06Z/12Z guidance including the HRRR indicates
a few showers and a thunderstorm or two will be possible across
mainly the southeast half of the area through the afternoon,
before a lull in activity this evening ahead of the next
rainmaker/approaching trough currently over the Southern Plains.
Visible satellite imagery also shows considerable breaks in the
clouds already over western zones, so highs in the 70s to near 80
still appear warranted across the forecast area today. Current
grids/zones have all this covered well and only minor tweaks were
made.


&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR conditions look to prevail for most of this TAF period, with
isolated showers possible during the day. Current radar shows
scattered showers which will mainly impact KCSV but also have VCSH
at KBNA this morning as well. Chances for rain look to increase
during the evening and overnight hours into Wednesday, so have
prevailing showers at all terminals at the end of the TAF period.
At KCSV, models want to drop cigs to IFR after 09Z, but KBNA and
KCKV look to be MVFR among model consensus before 12Z Wednesday.
Winds look to remain light through the TAF period as well.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Shamburger
AVIATION........Barnwell



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