Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 301501
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1001 AM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Latest HRRR shows cluster of morning showers and thunderstorms
pushing steadily into southwestern Middle Tennessee late this
morning, then weakening and falling apart. As a result, will
increase pops to likely over the extreme southwest and increase
nearby chance pops as well for late morning. If showers and storms
hold together longer than currently expected, may need to increase
pops over other parts of southern Middle Tennessee for this
afternoon as well.

Have updated suite of products to reflect these changes.

Otherwise, little change to previous forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

IFR/MVFR ceilings are currently plaguing terminals this morning
with these expected to continue through 15Z before gradually
improving between 15Z-17Z. VFR conditions expected beyond 17Z.
Coverage of -TSRA/VCTS should be less today, so have not included
in TAF at this time. Another round of MVFR/IFR ceilings possible
after 06Z although forecasting timing and impacts are too
difficult at this time and likely will be based on any precipitation
observed today.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......01/Boyd
AVIATION........19



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